NBA Fast Break · Pro | October 22, 2026

Run 1, Day 3. Objective(s): 65 PTS. Games on the slate: 2.

Today's slate: NBA · Preview & Predictions. See today's Fast Break · Classic and Fast Break · Historic. New to the 2026-27 rules? Read How Fast Break Works in 2026-27.

Considerations

  • This is Day 3 of Run 1, with 2 games on the slate (CLE @ PHI, DEN @ OKC), so only four teams are in play

  • Through the end of Run 1 on November 1, Atlanta, Charlotte, Cleveland, Golden State, Houston, Indiana, Minnesota, Philadelphia, and the Lakers have the most games remaining, with six each including tonight.

  • Phoenix has the fewest with three, followed by Portland with four. Nineteen teams have five each

  • The objective is points only. A 65 PTS target works out to 13.0 per player across five players. Fifteen players project at 13 or more, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (26.4), Donovan Mitchell (23.1), Nikola Jokic (22.7), Jamal Murray (22.0), and Tyrese Maxey (21.3), who combine for 115.5, well above the target

  • Pro limitation: Top Shot Debut required

  • Players out tonight: Tacko Fall, Dominick Barlow, & Ariel Hukporti (PHI); Julian Strawther (DEN); Nikola Topic, Thomas Sorber, & Otega Oweh (OKC); Nae'Qwan Tomlin & Khalifa Diop (CLE)

  • A top-50 finish in a Pro run qualifies for the invite-only Pro Final

  • Pro run rewards: 1st, 1 Rookie Debut Case; 2nd–10th, 1 Rookie Debut Box each; 11th–50th, 2 Rookie Debut Collector Packs each

Today's Top Five

Projected (Proj), year to date (YTD), and last 10 (L10).

#

Player

Team

Opp

PTS Proj

PTS YTD

PTS L10

1

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKC

DEN

26.4

32

27.1

2

Donovan Mitchell

CLE

PHI

23.1

28.3

3

Nikola Jokic

DEN

OKC

22.7

22.7

4

Jamal Murray

DEN

OKC

22

18.8

5

Tyrese Maxey

PHI

CLE

21.3

28

23.9

The rest of the board, with the per-player target in one sortable table, is in Tome Intel ($4.99/mo). The live slate, year-to-date and last-10 splits, and the CSV are on the Fast Break dashboard in Tome Edge.

Statistical approach

Top players in the day's objective based on various sources referenced below. Overall rank is based on daily projections and season averages, stack ranked among peers for each objective. Omissions reflect injuries at the time of the data pull. Sources: rotowire.com, nbatopshot.com, nba.com, balldontlie.io, and tomecollective.com, 2026.

Fast Break is a game on NBA Top Shot. This article describes projections for the day's objective. It is informational and is not a recommendation to purchase, sell, or hold any moments.