NBA Fast Break · Classic | October 22, 2026
Run 1, Day 3. Objective(s): 30 AST + 5 STL. Games on the slate: 2.
Today's slate: NBA · Preview & Predictions. See today's Fast Break · Pro and Fast Break · Historic.
A two-game Thursday trims the field to four teams, the smallest board of Run 1 so far, and the Classic objective turns to playmaking: 30 assists and 5 steals. Nikola Jokic and James Harden head the board at 7.4 assists each.
Assists are the tight mark tonight. A 30 AST target works out to 6.0 per player, and the five highest projections combine for 31.5, only 1.5 above it, while steals have more room at 7.6 against 5. With Cleveland, Philadelphia, Denver, and Oklahoma City the only teams in play, a short board is also a useful read on how much of your collection sits on a few rosters, and uses per run keep counting down across Run 1's 13 days. Our guide, How Fast Break Works in 2026-27, explains how those uses are set.
Considerations
This is Day 3 of Run 1, with 2 games on the slate (CLE @ PHI, DEN @ OKC), so only four teams are in play
Through the end of Run 1 on November 1, Atlanta, Charlotte, Cleveland, Golden State, Houston, Indiana, Minnesota, Philadelphia, and the Lakers have the most games remaining, with six each including tonight.
Phoenix has the fewest with three, followed by Portland with four. Nineteen teams have five each
The objective is playmaking. A 30 AST + 5 STL target works out to 6.0 assists and 1.0 steals per player across five players. Only Nikola Jokic and James Harden (7.4 each) project at the assist mark, though 13 players project at 1.0 or more steals
Players out tonight: Tacko Fall, Dominick Barlow, & Ariel Hukporti (PHI); Julian Strawther (DEN); Nikola Topic, Thomas Sorber, & Otega Oweh (OKC); Nae'Qwan Tomlin & Khalifa Diop (CLE)
A top-50 finish in a Classic run earns a spot in the invite-only Fast Break Finals
Classic daily rewards (Top Shot credit): 1st $150; 2nd $100; 3rd $50; 4th $20; 5th–10th $10 each; 11th–25th $5 each; 26th–50th $3 each; 51st–100th $2 each
Classic run rewards (Top Shot credit): 1st $2,000; 2nd $1,000; 3rd $500; 4th $250; 5th $125; 6th–10th $100 each; 11th–30th $50 each; 31st–70th $25 each; 71st–120th $10 each; 121st–150th $5 each; 151st–250th $2 each
Today's Top Five
Projected (Proj), year to date (YTD), and last 10 (L10).
# | Player | Team | Opp | AST Proj | AST YTD | AST L10 | STL Proj | STL YTD | STL L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nikola Jokic | DEN | OKC | 7.4 | 8.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | ||
2 | James Harden | CLE | PHI | 7.4 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | ||
3 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | DEN | 5.8 | 4 | 8.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 1.8 |
4 | Jamal Murray | DEN | OKC | 5.5 | 4.6 | 1 | 0.5 | ||
5 | Donovan Mitchell | CLE | PHI | 5.3 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
The rest of the board, with the per-player targets in one sortable table, is in Tome Intel ($4.99/mo). The live slate, year-to-date and last-10 splits, and the CSV are on the Fast Break dashboard in Tome Edge.
Statistical approach
Top players in the day's objective based on various sources referenced below. Overall rank is based on daily projections and season averages, stack ranked among peers for each objective. Omissions reflect injuries at the time of the data pull. Sources: rotowire.com, nbatopshot.com, nba.com, balldontlie.io, and tomecollective.com, 2026.
Fast Break is a game on NBA Top Shot. This article describes projections for the day's objective. It is informational and is not a recommendation to purchase, sell, or hold any moments.