NBA Fast Break · Classic | November 7, 2026

Run 2, Day 5. Objective(s): 45 FGM + 55 FGA. Games on the slate: 7.

Saturday's seven games put 14 teams in play, including the NBA Mexico City Game between Denver and Indiana, and Classic goes to shot volume: 45 made field goals and 55 attempts across five players. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander heads the board at 10.2 made and 19.0 attempted.

A 45 FGM + 55 FGA target works out to 9.0 made and 11.0 attempted per player. Two players project at 9.0 or more FGM (Gilgeous-Alexander and Nikola Jokic), and both also clear the attempts mark, which 43 players reach in total. The five highest FGM projections combine for 44.6 against 45, and the five highest FGA projections combine for 88.6 against 55. Our guide, How Fast Break Works in 2026-27, explains how the runs work.

Considerations

  • This is Day 5 of Run 2, with 7 games on the slate, so 14 teams are in play. Denver and Indiana meet at Arena CDMX in Mexico City.

  • Through the end of Run 2 on November 15, including tonight, Cleveland, Dallas, Houston, Indiana, Milwaukee, New Orleans, New York, Oklahoma City, Phoenix, San Antonio, Utah, and Washington have the most games remaining with five each. Charlotte and Minnesota have the fewest with three

  • Atlanta, Boston, Brooklyn, Chicago, Denver, Detroit, Golden State, the Clippers, the Lakers, Memphis, Miami, Orlando, Philadelphia, Portland, Sacramento, and Toronto have four games remaining each

  • The objective is field goals made and attempted. A 45 FGM + 55 FGA target works out to 9.0 made and 11.0 attempted per player across five players. Two players project at 9.0 or more FGM and 43 project at 11.0 or more FGA

  • Notable players out tonight: Jalen Johnson (ATL); Egor Demin (BKN); Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, & Jaylon Tyson (CLE); Jimmy Butler, Kristaps Porzingis, & Moses Moody (GSW); Steven Adams & Clint Capela (HOU); Tyrese Haliburton (IND); Josh Hart (NYK); Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, & Cason Wallace (OKC); Paolo Banchero, Jalen Suggs, & Jonathan Isaac (ORL); Mark Williams (PHX); Ja Morant & Shaedon Sharpe (POR); Tobias Harris (SAS); Anthony Davis (WAS)

  • A top-50 finish in a Classic run earns a spot in the invite-only Fast Break Finals

  • Run 2 rewards (daily, run, and milestone): see NBA Top Shot Fast Break Rewards · Run 2

Today's Top Five

Projected (Proj) and year to date (YTD).

#

Player

Team

Opp

FGM Proj

FGM YTD

FGA Proj

FGA YTD

1

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKC

WAS

10.2

10.7

19

23.6

2

Nikola Jokic

DEN

IND

9

9.1

15.9

18.1

3

Jalen Brunson

NYK

CLE

8.9

8.4

18.3

20.3

4

Victor Wembanyama

SAS

POR

8.3

10.6

16.2

21.9

5

Franz Wagner

ORL

GSW

8.2

7.4

17.1

17.1

The rest of the board, with the per-player targets in one sortable table, is in Tome Intel ($4.99/mo). The live slate, year-to-date splits, and the CSV, which covers all 189 ranked players with a projection, are on the Fast Break dashboard in Tome Edge.

Statistical approach

Top players in the day's objective based on various sources referenced below. Overall rank is based on daily projections and season averages, stack ranked among peers for each objective. Omissions reflect injuries at the time of the data pull. Sources: rotowire.com, nbatopshot.com, nba.com, balldontlie.io, and tomecollective.com, 2026.

Fast Break is a game on NBA Top Shot. This article describes projections for the day's objective. It is informational and is not a recommendation to purchase, sell, or hold any moments.