NBA Fast Break · Classic | October 21, 2026

Run 1, Day 2. Objective(s): 18 3PM + 30 3PA. Games on the slate: 11.

A Wednesday slate of 11 games puts 22 teams in play, the largest board of Run 1 so far, and the Classic objective turns to the three-point line: 18 made and 30 attempted. Stephen Curry and LaMelo Ball head the board.

Tonight's two objectives pull in opposite directions. Classic favors the perimeter, with every one of the top ten spots on this board belonging to a guard or wing, while Pro's 40 rebounds and 4 blocks favor the bigs. Uses per run are still counting down across Run 1's 13 days, so a night that splits the roster this way is a useful read on where your collection fits. Our guide, How Fast Break Works in 2026-27, explains how uses per run are set.

Considerations

  • This is Day 2 of Run 1, with 11 games on the slate, so all but eight teams are in play

  • Through the end of Run 1 on November 1, Atlanta, Charlotte, Golden State, Houston, Indiana, Minnesota, and the Lakers have the most games remaining, with seven each including tonight.

  • Phoenix has the fewest with four, followed by Boston, Denver, Detroit, New York, Oklahoma City, Portland, and San Antonio with five each

  • The objective is three-point volume and accuracy. A 18 3PM + 30 3PA target works out to 3.6 made and 6.0 attempted per player across five players. Only Stephen Curry (4.0) and LaMelo Ball (3.6) project at the 3PM mark, though 28 players project at 6 or more attempts

  • The five highest 3PM projections (Curry, Ball, Anthony Edwards, Brandon Miller, and Luka Doncic) combine for 17.3 makes on 46.3 attempts, so attempts clear the 30 mark with room to spare while makes land just short of 18

  • Notable players out tonight: Jimmy Butler, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody, & Brandin Podziemski (GSW); Bradley Beal, Brandon Ingram, & Max Strus (LAC); Coby White & Kon Knueppel (CHA); Dereck Lively II & Caleb Martin (DAL); Aaron Nesmith & T.J. McConnell (IND); Jonathan Isaac & Anthony Black (ORL); Nicolas Claxton (CHI); Mark Williams (PHX); Shaedon Sharpe (POR); Ben Simmons (SAC); Jusuf Nurkic (UTA)

  • A top-50 finish in a Classic run earns a spot in the invite-only Fast Break Finals

  • Classic daily rewards (Top Shot credit): 1st $150; 2nd $100; 3rd $50; 4th $20; 5th–10th $10 each; 11th–25th $5 each; 26th–50th $3 each; 51st–100th $2 each

  • Classic run rewards (Top Shot credit): 1st $2,000; 2nd $1,000; 3rd $500; 4th $250; 5th $125; 6th–10th $100 each; 11th–30th $50 each; 31st–70th $25 each; 71st–120th $10 each; 121st–150th $5 each; 151st–250th $2 each

Today's Top Five

Projected (Proj) and last 10 (L10).

#

Player

Team

Opp

3PM Proj

3PM L10

3PA Proj

3PA L10

1

Stephen Curry

GSW

LAL

4

2.5

10.4

5.8

2

LaMelo Ball

MIN

MIA

3.6

4.2

10

12.5

3

Anthony Edwards

MIN

MIA

3.3

1.1

8.7

3

4

Brandon Miller

CHA

BKN

3.3

3.1

8.6

8.3

5

Luka Doncic

LAL

GSW

3.1

0.9

8.6

2.1

The rest of the board, with the per-player targets in one sortable table, is in Tome Intel ($4.99/mo). The live slate, last-10 splits, and the CSV, which covers all 336 ranked players, are on the Fast Break dashboard in Tome Edge.

Statistical approach

Top players in the day's objective based on various sources referenced below. Overall rank is based on daily projections and season averages, stack ranked among peers for each objective. Omissions reflect injuries at the time of the data pull. Sources: rotowire.com, nbatopshot.com, nba.com, balldontlie.io, and tomecollective.com, 2026.

Fast Break is a game on NBA Top Shot. This article describes projections for the day's objective. It is informational and is not a recommendation to purchase, sell, or hold any moments.