NBA Fast Break · Classic | November 11, 2026

Run 2, Day 9. Objective(s): 35 AST + 5 STL. Games on the slate: 10.

Wednesday's ten games put 20 teams in play, and Classic splits between playmaking and ball pressure: 35 assists and 5 steals across five players. Isaiah Collier leads the assist projections at 9.3, and Nikola Jokic tops the overall board at 7.7 assists and 1.3 steals.

A 35 AST + 5 STL target works out to 7.0 assists and 1.0 steals per player across five players. Eight players project at 7.0 or more AST and 67 project at 1.0 or more STL, so steals are easy to find and assists are the scarce side. Six players clear both marks: Jokic, Trae Young, Luka Doncic, James Harden, Andrew Nembhard, and Collier. The five highest AST projections combine for 40.4 against 35, and the five highest STL projections combine for 9.0 against 5. Our guide, How Fast Break Works in 2026-27, explains how the runs work.

Considerations

  • This is Day 9 of Run 2, with 10 games on the slate, so 20 teams are in play

  • Through the end of Run 2 on November 15, including tonight, Chicago, Cleveland, Dallas, Houston, Indiana, Memphis, Milwaukee, New Orleans, New York, Oklahoma City, San Antonio, Toronto, Utah, and Washington have the most games remaining with three each. Atlanta, Boston, Brooklyn, Charlotte, Denver, Detroit, Golden State, the Clippers, the Lakers, Miami, Minnesota, Orlando, Philadelphia, Phoenix, Portland, and Sacramento have the fewest with two each

  • The objective is assists and steals. A 35 AST + 5 STL target works out to 7.0 assists and 1.0 steals per player across five players. Eight players project at 7.0 or more AST and 67 project at 1.0 or more STL, with six clearing both marks

  • Notable players out tonight: Devin Carter (BOS); Sam Merrill (CLE); Julian Strawther (DEN); Jimmy Butler, Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, & Moses Moody (GSW); Steven Adams & Clint Capela (HOU); Tyrese Haliburton & Ben Sheppard (IND); Scotty Pippen Jr. & Quinten Post (MEM); Tyler Herro (MIL); Yves Missi & Trendon Watford (NOP); Josh Hart (NYK); Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, & Cason Wallace (OKC); Paolo Banchero, Jalen Suggs, & Jonathan Isaac (ORL); Ja Morant & Shaedon Sharpe (POR); Tobias Harris & Jayden Quaintance (SAS); Kawhi Leonard & Scottie Barnes (TOR); Jaren Jackson Jr., Lauri Markkanen, Jusuf Nurkic, & Keyonte George (UTA)

  • A top-50 finish in a Classic run earns a spot in the invite-only Fast Break Finals

  • Run 2 rewards (daily, run, and milestone): see NBA Top Shot Fast Break Rewards · Run 2

Today's Top Five

Projected (Proj) and year to date (YTD). Top fives are ranked overall, by assists, and by steals.

Overall

#

Player

Team

Opp

AST Proj

AST YTD

STL Proj

STL YTD

1

Nikola Jokic

DEN

MEM

7.7

9.1

1.3

1.9

2

Trae Young

WAS

IND

8

8.7

1.3

1.2

3

Luka Doncic

LAL

MIL

7.7

7.9

1.3

2

4

James Harden

CLE

NYK

7.3

5.7

1.1

0.7

5

Andrew Nembhard

IND

WAS

7.3

6.2

1.2

0.5

Assists

#

Player

Team

Opp

AST Proj

AST YTD

1

Isaiah Collier

UTA

ORL

9.3

4.1

2

Trae Young

WAS

IND

8

8.7

3

Nikola Jokic

DEN

MEM

7.7

9.1

4

Luka Doncic

LAL

MIL

7.7

7.9

5

Josh Giddey

CHI

SAS

7.7

8.4

Steals

#

Player

Team

Opp

STL Proj

STL YTD

1

De'Anthony Melton

GSW

HOU

1.9

1.5

2

Matisse Thybulle

LAL

MIL

1.9

2.1

3

Ja'Kobe Walter

TOR

BOS

1.8

1.2

4

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

OKC

POR

1.7

1

5

Anthony Black

ORL

UTA

1.7

1.7

The rest of the board, with the per-player targets in one sortable table, is in Tome Intel ($4.99/mo). The live slate, year-to-date splits, and the CSV, which covers all 283 ranked players with a projection, are on the Fast Break dashboard in Tome Edge.

Statistical approach

Top players in the day's objective based on various sources referenced below. Overall rank is based on daily projections and season averages, stack ranked among peers for each objective. Omissions reflect injuries at the time of the data pull. Sources: rotowire.com, nbatopshot.com, nba.com, balldontlie.io, and tomecollective.com, 2026.

Fast Break is a game on NBA Top Shot. This article describes projections for the day's objective. It is informational and is not a recommendation to purchase, sell, or hold any moments.