WNBA Recap | July 30, 2026

Thursday's Prime Video tripleheader delivered a comeback, a blowout, and a nail-biter. Chicago erased a five-point fourth-quarter deficit to beat Connecticut, Minnesota rolled wire to wire against a shorthanded Toronto team for their ninth straight win, and Las Vegas held off a furious late push from New York to close out the night. Here's how it all went down, plus a look at how the preview predictions held up.

Sky Erase Fourth-Quarter Deficit to Down Sun

Connecticut Sun 88, Chicago Sky 94

Connecticut carried a five-point lead into the fourth quarter and looked poised to hang on, but Chicago had other plans. The Sky outscored the Sun 33-22 in the final frame, tying the game with 4:54 remaining before cruising to the finish from there. Final: 94-88, Chicago improves to 8-18, while Connecticut falls to 7-22.

Kamilla Cardoso was dominant, going 8-of-12 from the field for 26 points at 77.2 percent true shooting, drawing seven fouls and going 10-of-11 from the free throw line. Sydney Taylor added 14 points on 6-of-12 shooting with six assists, and Natasha Cloud contributed 11 points and five assists. Chicago's bench outscored Connecticut's reserves 34-15, and the Sky's 25 points off Connecticut's 16 turnovers were the numbers that fueled their fourth-quarter surge.

Connecticut had control for three quarters and let it slip away. Aneesah Morrow was excellent, going 8-of-12 from the field for 21 points at 71.7 percent true shooting. Olivia Nelson-Ododa posted a double-double with 16 points and 11 rebounds but committed six turnovers, and Diamond Miller added 14 points on 5-of-13 shooting. Connecticut's 24 personal fouls and their inability to close out the fourth quarter, after controlling the first three, reflected a team that has struggled to finish games all season.

CHI 94 · CON 88

Lynx Roll Wire to Wire in Toronto

Minnesota Lynx 104, Toronto Tempo 72

Minnesota controlled this game from the opening tip and never let Toronto within striking distance, building a lead as large as 36 points on the way to their ninth straight win. Final: 104-72, Minnesota improves to 25-6 and remains the best team in the league by a wide margin. Toronto, playing shorthanded, falls to 10-19.

Napheesa Collier made her third start of the season, going 7-of-12 from the field (2-of-2 from three) for 16 points with five rebounds, two steals, and two blocks. Courtney Williams added 16 points on 6-of-11 shooting with five assists, and Kayla McBride hit three of seven three-point attempts for 13 points. Dorka Juhasz was efficient off the bench, going 4-of-8 (4-of-7 from three) for 12 points. Minnesota's 26 assists on 40 made field goals and their 14 steals reflected a complete team performance from start to finish against a Toronto roster missing three rotation players.

Toronto competed without three key rotation pieces and never found a way to compete with a full-strength Minnesota team. Laura Juskaite led the Tempo with 19 points on 7-of-12 shooting, and Marina Mabrey added 16 points on 6-of-11 shooting. But Toronto's 24 turnovers, converted into 10 Minnesota points, and their 122.8 defensive rating reflected a shorthanded roster that had no answer for Minnesota's depth and continuity.

MIN 104 · TOR 72

Wilson's 33-Point Double-Double Holds Off Liberty's Late Push

New York Liberty 99, Las Vegas Aces 104

Las Vegas led for most of the night, but New York refused to go away, cutting the deficit to two points with 1:10 remaining before the Aces closed it out at the free throw line. Final: 104-99, Las Vegas improves to 20-8, while New York falls to 16-13, both rosters playing shorthanded throughout.

A'ja Wilson posted a double-double with 33 points and 10 rebounds on 11-of-22 shooting, adding six assists and going a stellar 10-of-11 from the free throw line. Jackie Young was nearly perfect, going 7-of-11 from the field (3-of-5 from three) for 29 points at 89.1 percent true shooting with nine assists and a perfect 12-of-12 from the line. Chelsea Gray added 16 points on 6-of-10 shooting (4-of-6 from three). Las Vegas's 92.6 percent free throw shooting as a team, 25-of-27 on the night, was the difference in the closing minutes when New York was mounting its comeback.

New York fought until the final horn despite missing three rotation pieces. Breanna Stewart posted a double-double with 26 points and 11 rebounds on 10-of-20 shooting, adding three steals. Pauline Astier came off the bench to shoot 8-of-12 for 19 points, and Rebecca Allen hit three of four three-point attempts for 13 points. Sabrina Ionescu added 15 points and five assists. New York's 71.4 percent second-chance conversion and their furious final push made this a genuine fight down to the final possessions, but Las Vegas's poise at the free throw line closed the door.

LVA 104 · NYL 99

CHI, MIN, & LVA Wins.

Thursday's slate showed three different ways to win a basketball game: Chicago's fourth-quarter surge, Minnesota's wire-to-wire dominance, and Las Vegas's poise at the free throw line down the stretch. All three winners improve their positioning as the stretch run continues, while Connecticut, Toronto, and New York all leave with something to work on before their next outing.

How We Did: Checking the Preview Predictions

All three of Thursday's preview picks have been evaluated with varying results.

Connecticut @ Chicago: The preview leaned Chicago -4.5 with the under at 174.5. Chicago won by six, comfortably covering. But the under missed: the two teams combined for 182 points, more than seven over the total.

Minnesota @ Toronto: The preview leaned Minnesota -12 with the over at 186.5. Minnesota crushed it, winning by 32. But the over missed in the other direction: the two teams combined for just 176 points, 10.5 under the total, as Minnesota's defense throttled a shorthanded Toronto team.

New York @ Las Vegas: The preview leaned Las Vegas on the moneyline with the under at 181.5, citing both rosters' injury attrition. Las Vegas won 104-99 in a game that came down to the final minute, with New York cutting the deficit to two points with 1:10 to go before Las Vegas closed it out at the line. The under missed: the two teams combined for 203 points, more than 21 over the total.

The headline takeaway: three correct sides, zero correct totals. Every game on Thursday's slate broke significantly in one direction or the other on the total, a reminder that final possessions and free throw trips can swing a projected total by double digits even when the side call is exactly right.

Season Predictions Record

Tracking every graded pick against the spread and total from the preview articles this season, updated through July 30:

Spread / Side: 8-2

Total (Over/Under): 5-5

Ten games graded so far across three preview articles. The side calls have been sharp, correctly covering the spread in eight of 10 graded games. The totals have been a true coin flip, with final-score variance making the over/under the hardest number to call consistently. We'll keep this tally updated with every recap going forward.

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