The finish line is five days away, and Saturday brings fresh clarity to a playoff field that's been set for weeks. Dallas officially clinched its playoff berth on Friday, Golden State has already locked up a postseason spot and a guaranteed home game with the league's second-best record, and New York shook up the middle of the pack by upsetting Minnesota 93-81 Friday night. Atlanta, fresh off a 103-59 rout of Connecticut, still has a mathematical shot at the No. 3 seed. Mercury at Wings tips at 1:00, Sky at Dream follows at 7:00, and Storm at Valkyries closes the night at 9:00.

Phoenix Mercury @ Dallas Wings | 1:00 PM ET | CBS

Dallas officially clinched its 2026 playoff berth this week, and Paige Bueckers returns from Berlin a gold medalist with Team USA. The Wings are 24-16 and locked into the field, but with the standings still bunched from sixth through eighth, every game left still carries seeding weight.

Phoenix is 14-26 and long eliminated, playing out the string on the road against a Dallas team with real motivation left. The Wings have already beaten this Mercury roster this season and have the deeper, healthier roster in nearly every matchup.

The line sits at Dallas -8.5, with the total at 173.5. Phoenix has been one of the league's lower-scoring teams all year, and a motivated Wings defense at home against a team playing for nothing feels like a number that stays under. Lean Dallas -8.5, and lean the under.

Phoenix wins if the Mercury's role players get hot from deep and Dallas comes out flat in an early matinee off a short week.

Dallas wins if Bueckers picks up where the World Cup left off and the Wings control the pace from the opening tip.

Chicago Sky @ Atlanta Dream | 7:00 PM ET | Prime Video

Atlanta is 27-14 and has won six of its last seven, closing out its regular-season home slate with a real shot at the No. 3 seed still alive. Reese returns from a gold-medal run with Team USA — where she led the squad in blocks — and Rhyne Howard has been scorching over the last 10 games, averaging 20.7 points.

Chicago is 15-26 and eliminated, having lost seven of its last 10 against a Dream team it traded Reese to back in April. Atlanta has won the first two meetings this season, including a 93-91 nail-biter on July 19.

The line sits at Atlanta -12.5, with the total at 176.5. The Dream have been putting up 97.5 points a game over their last 10 while holding opponents to 83, and a motivated home finale against a Sky team that owns the league's ninth-worst defense fits the profile of a big offensive night. Lean Atlanta -12.5, and lean the over.

Chicago wins if Kamilla Cardoso controls the paint early and the Sky's role players make enough threes to keep this from getting away.

Atlanta wins if Reese and Howard set the tone in the home finale and the Dream's offense stays in its recent groove.

Seattle Storm @ Golden State Valkyries | 9:00 PM ET | Prime Video

Golden State has already clinched a playoff spot and is guaranteed to host at least one postseason game at Chase Center, where the Valkyries own the league's best home record and have sold out every game this season. Saturday is the second night of Golden State's final back-to-back of the year, and Gabby Williams enters it fresh off being named the World Cup's Best Defender.

Seattle is 8-32, the league's worst record, and gets a look at rookie Flau'jae Johnson's first game back at Chase Center since the Valkyries traded her on draft night. The Storm have little left to play for against a Golden State defense that ranks first in the league.

The line sits at Golden State -13.5, with the total at 156.5, the lowest number of the night. Back-to-back or not, the league's stingiest defense against its worst offense is the profile of a low-scoring blowout. Lean Golden State -13.5, and lean the under.

Seattle wins if Johnson has a big homecoming game and Golden State shows any fatigue from Friday's back-to-back opener.

Golden State wins if the league's top-ranked defense sets the tone early and closes out a perfect final homestand in front of a sellout crowd.

Atlanta's home finale carries the most postseason weight on the board, with the Dream still chasing a mathematical path to the No. 3 seed. Dallas gets a chance to build seeding cushion in a crowded 6-8 logjam that New York shook up Friday, and Golden State tries to send its home fans out on a perfect note before hitting the road for the stretch run. Three games today, on CBS and Prime Video, with the regular season wrapping up Tuesday, September 24.