WNBA Preview | Finals Game 4, October 24, 2026
Atlanta leads the series 2-1 after back-to-back blowout wins, and the Dream are two wins from their first championship. Golden State needs a response today to avoid going down 3-1. Golden State at Atlanta tips at 1:00 PM ET on NBC and Peacock. Note the earlier-than-usual start: State Farm Arena has an NBA game later tonight, so tip was moved up from the series' usual evening slot.
Atlanta Chases a Commanding Series Lead at Home
Golden State Valkyries @ Atlanta Dream | Game 4 | 1:00 PM ET | NBC / Peacock
KEY STAT
15-0
Atlanta's record this season, regular season and playoffs combined, whenever Angel Reese makes a three-pointer.
Atlanta has won two straight by a combined 51 points, including a 97-71 rout in Game 3 behind Reese's third straight big Finals game (21 points, 12 rebounds). Rhyne Howard became the first player in WNBA history with five steals in consecutive Finals games, and the Dream's attack has been balanced from top to bottom — six different players reached double figures across the two wins.
Golden State's offense has struggled for most of the series, managing just 65 and 71 points in the two losses after opening with 68 in a Game 1 win. The Valkyries missed their first eight shots of Game 3 and never recovered, though Janelle Salaün's 11-point bench game offered one bright spot to build on.
Our number has Atlanta winning again, 82-73, a bit wider than DraftKings' Dream -4.5 — enough of a gap to lean the home team, with momentum, a sellout crowd, and a healthier offense all in Atlanta's favor. The total is close to even: our number of 155 sits just above DraftKings' 153.5. Lean Atlanta -4.5 (Lean), and lean the over (Toss-up).
Golden State wins if the offense rediscovers its first-two-rounds form and the Valkyries' defense forces the kind of turnovers that have been missing the last two games.
Atlanta wins if Reese and the balanced attack keep rolling at home and the Dream take a stranglehold on the series.
LEAN
ATL -4.5
O/U 153.5
Over ↑
CONFIDENCE: Spread — Lean · Total — Toss-up
Momentum and home court favor Atlanta on the spread; the total is close enough to call either way.
What to Watch For Today.
Our series call has been Golden State in 6, and that's now in real jeopardy — Atlanta has won two straight comfortably and would take a commanding 3-1 lead with a win today. Watch whether Golden State's offense can find anything resembling its first-round form, because another low-scoring effort likely means a trip back to San Francisco facing elimination. The 2026 WNBA Finals continue today in Atlanta.