Phoenix Mercury @ Atlanta Dream | 7:00 PM ET | WNBA League Pass

Phoenix arrives in Atlanta on a high. The Mercury improved to 12-19 with a 106-101 road win over Chicago on Monday, with Kahleah Copper scoring 31 and new addition Kelsey Plum adding 20 points in her Phoenix debut after arriving via trade from Los Angeles. That's a real infusion of talent for a Mercury team that has otherwise struggled to stay above .500 all season, and it changes the calculus of how dangerous Phoenix can be down the stretch.

Atlanta sits sixth at 18-11, comfortably in the playoff picture, and Angel Reese's rebounding advantage remains one of the most reliable individual edges in the league. But Copper and Plum sharing a backcourt is a genuine new variable that Atlanta hasn't seen from Phoenix in their earlier meetings this season, and a team riding a road win with two players scoring 20-plus is worth taking seriously regardless of the overall record gap.

DraftKings has Atlanta favored in the 3.5 to 5.5 range, with the total in the 178.5 to 182.5 range. Phoenix's newly reinforced backcourt and the momentum from Monday's win make this closer than a simple record comparison suggests. Lean Phoenix +5.5.

Phoenix wins if Copper and Plum combine for another 40-plus point outing between them, the Mercury's newly formed backcourt continues to gel quickly, and Phoenix carries Monday's road-win momentum directly into Atlanta.

Atlanta wins if Reese's rebounding advantage generates the extra possessions that decide close games, the Dream's interior defense makes Phoenix's new backcourt work for every point, and Atlanta's home crowd provides the edge in a game they should be favored to win.

Seattle Storm @ New York Liberty | 7:00 PM ET | WNBA League Pass, Local Coverage

New York sits seventh at 18-13, safely in the playoff field for now, but their form has been genuinely alarming: the Liberty have missed the cover in nine of their last ten games behind poor defense, allowing 50.3 percent shooting and 40 percent from three over their last five. That's not the profile of a team playing its way toward a comfortable postseason position, it's a team that has been living dangerously against a schedule that hasn't fully punished it yet.

Seattle, at 6-26, is the league's worst team by record, but they've quietly covered eight of their last ten games behind stretches of genuinely good shooting. Dominique Malonga remains capable of an outlier scoring night, and against a Liberty defense that has been this leaky, Seattle has more of a puncher's chance than the standings suggest.

DraftKings has New York favored by 8.5, with the total at 183.5. Given New York's defensive rot over the last five games and Seattle's strong recent ATS form, the full number looks generous to the Liberty. Lean Seattle +8.5.

Seattle wins if Malonga has one of her big scoring nights and New York's defensive struggles continue in a big way, Seattle's role players build on a stretch of strong shooting, and the Liberty show the same defensive lapses that have defined their last five games.

New York wins if Breanna Stewart and Jonquel Jones combine for enough interior production to overcome a leaky defense, the Liberty tighten up defensively after a genuinely concerning stretch, and New York protects the seventh seed with the kind of business-like win a playoff team needs.

Dallas Wings @ Washington Mystics | 7:30 PM ET | WNBA League Pass

Washington sits eighth at 16-12, the final spot in the league-wide playoff picture, and every game from here carries real weight. Dallas is fourth at 19-11, a game manager rather than a juggernaut of late, having lost their last meeting with Atlanta 82-81. Sonia Citron has been the engine of Washington's improved season, and her efficiency from the field has made the Mystics considerably more dangerous than their overall talent level might suggest on paper.

Washington ranks second in the league in points allowed at 83.1 per game, a genuine defensive identity that has carried them to their current playoff position, and Kiki Iriafen's rebounding gives them a physical edge inside that has bothered plenty of opponents. Dallas counters with its own individual talent, but this is exactly the kind of game a bubble team like Washington needs to win to keep pace with the crowded pack behind them.

DraftKings has Dallas as a modest favorite, around 2.5 points, with the total near 165.5, one of the lower numbers of the week. Washington's defensive identity and the stakes involved make the home team worth backing here. Lean Washington +2.5.

Dallas wins if the Wings' offensive talent simply outpaces Washington's defensive scheme, their depth shows up in bench scoring that Washington can't match, and Dallas avoids the kind of let-down performance that cost them against Atlanta.

Washington wins if Citron continues her efficient scoring and Iriafen controls the glass, the Mystics' league-best defensive numbers hold up against Dallas's offense, and Washington's playoff urgency shows up in a tight, low-scoring game they need to win.

Los Angeles Sparks @ Chicago Sky | 9:00 PM ET | WNBA League Pass

Both of these teams sit outside the current playoff picture, Chicago 11th at 11-19 and Los Angeles 9th at 11-17, meaning this is essentially playoff-elimination basketball with roughly 15 games left. Los Angeles has been redistributing its offense since trading Kelsey Plum to Phoenix, leaning more heavily on Nneka Ogwumike, Rae Burrell, Dearica Hamby, Erica Wheeler, and Ariel Atkins. Ogwumike has responded by playing some of her best basketball of the season, and Burrell's emerging scoring role has given the Sparks another player capable of putting pressure on a defense early.

Chicago just lost 106-101 at home to Phoenix on Monday, a game where their defense couldn't contain the newly formed Copper-Plum backcourt, and that loss raises real questions about whether Chicago's defensive rhythm from earlier in the season has faded. Los Angeles's offensive redistribution has actually produced some encouraging stretches even without their leading scorer, and this is a winnable game for a Sparks team still mathematically alive.

DraftKings has this as one of the closer lines of the week, Chicago favored by a small number at home. Given Chicago's defensive slippage in Monday's loss and Los Angeles's improved ball distribution since the Plum trade, this looks like a genuine coin flip rather than a game that favors the home team clearly. Lean the total more than the side here — both offenses have shown real flashes recently.

Los Angeles wins if Ogwumike continues her recent strong stretch and Burrell provides the secondary scoring punch that has emerged since the Plum trade, the Sparks' redistributed offense proves more resilient than expected, and Chicago's defense shows the same cracks it did against Phoenix.

Chicago wins if the Sky's defense rebounds from Monday's loss and tightens up at home, their own offense finds enough efficiency to complement a bounce-back defensive effort, and Chicago's crowd provides the edge in a game both teams need.