NFL Recap | November 1, 2026
Twelve games on Sunday, and the three we wrote up all turned on something nobody could have planned for. Lamar Jackson's return lasted one pass, and Buffalo ran away from a Baltimore team playing its third quarterback, 36-10. Denver took the AFC West lead from Kansas City on a 51-yard catch-and-run and a 5-yard touchdown with 1:56 left, then sacked Patrick Mahomes on fourth-and-goal with four seconds left. Washington held Philadelphia to nothing after the first quarter on Sunday night. The early window also gave us two overtime games, Joe Burrow throwing for 462 and five touchdowns in one of them. Here's how it went down, every card graded, and where the record stands.
Jackson Leaves After One Pass, and Buffalo Runs Away From a Baltimore Team Down to Its Third Quarterback
Baltimore Ravens 10, Buffalo Bills 36
Lamar Jackson's return lasted one snap. His first throw, at 10:04 of the first quarter, fell incomplete toward Zay Flowers, he was hurt on the play, and Tyler Huntley and Joe Fagnano took the rest of the game; ESPN's postgame injury list has him out with a thumb. Buffalo had already scored by then: Josh Allen's 1-yard sneak on fourth-and-goal at 10:10 capped a 10-play, 60-yard opening drive, and Tyler Bass's 56-yarder at 6:05 made it 10-0. Baltimore answered in two plays after Broderick Washington Jr. intercepted Allen at the Buffalo 17 at 4:17, Derrick Henry scoring from the 2 at 3:18 for 10-7.
The second quarter is where it got away. Huntley was sacked by Cole Bishop at 14:10 and fumbled, Kaleb Elarms-Orr recovered at the Baltimore 20, and that became Bass's 22-yard field goal at 9:50, 13-7. Tyler Loop's 34-yard try struck the left upright at 7:41, Davison Igbinosun intercepted Fagnano's throw for Flowers at 1:21, and Bass's 51-yarder at 0:09 sent it to the half 16-7. Loop's 26-yarder at 11:28 of the third got Baltimore within 16-10, and then Allen found DJ Moore deep down the middle for 49 at 9:44 and James Cook III scored from the 5 at 8:59, 23-10. Allen's 40-yard throw to Dalton Kincaid at 13:45 of the fourth set up his 11-yard touchdown to Moore at 12:18 (the two-point pass failed), Fagnano was sacked by Deone Walker at 9:39 and lost the ball to Greg Rousseau at the Baltimore 31, and Allen's 23-yarder to Kincaid at 5:58 closed it at 36-10.
Allen finished 21-of-34 for 289 yards and two touchdowns with the one interception, plus 30 rushing yards and the sneak; Cook ran 21 times for 80 and a score, Kincaid caught four for 86 and a touchdown, Moore four for 82 and a touchdown, and Khalil Shakir five for 64. Buffalo outgained Baltimore 426-144, held the ball for 37:36 and went 4-of-5 on fourth down. Fagnano was 10-of-21 for 91 yards with the interception and three sacks, Huntley 2-of-4 for no yards, and Henry had 53 yards on 11 carries. Baltimore was 3-of-13 on third down and gave it away three times; Roquan Smith's 11 tackles led the defense. Buffalo is 6-1; Baltimore is 4-4.
THE CARD, GRADED · BAL @ BUF
Side BUF -3 (Lean) · closing number BUF -3 · Buffalo won by 26, 23 points past the number · cleared
Total Over 54.5 (Lean) · closing number 54.5 · 46 points, 8.5 under the number · missed
The card leaned on the schedule, a rested Buffalo at home against a short-handed Baltimore line, and the number never left 3; Jackson's exit on the first series turned a key-number lean into a 26-point margin. The over was built on Buffalo's games going over in five of six and the highest total on the board, and a Baltimore offense that managed 144 yards with its backups left it 8.5 short.
Coleman's 51-Yard Catch and a 5-Yard Run With 1:56 Left Put Denver Alone in First in the AFC West
Kansas City Chiefs 24, Denver Broncos 28
Kansas City led for most of the afternoon. Wil Lutz's 39-yarder at 9:43 of the first opened it, Patrick Mahomes found Rashee Rice from 11 at 6:04 for 7-3, and Lutz's 45-yarder at 14:08 of the second cut it to 7-6. Then, on third-and-10 from his own 27 at 7:40, Mahomes threw short left to Emmett Johnson and Johnson ran 73 yards for a 14-6 lead. Bo Nix answered with a 12-play, 69-yard drive that ended with a 1-yard throw to Jaylen Waddle on fourth-and-goal at 1:15, 14-13, and Mahomes' 38-yard pass to Johnson at 1:02 set up Harrison Butker's 45-yarder at 0:19 for a 17-13 halftime lead.
Mahomes' 4-yard touchdown to Noah Gray at 1:38 of the third, the end of an 11-play, 63-yard drive, made it 24-13. Denver went 80 yards in nine plays, Nix throwing 2 yards to Nate Adkins on fourth-and-goal at 8:55 of the fourth and then to Waddle for two, 24-21. Kansas City's next drive took 11 plays and 6:24 off the clock and ended with Butker's 54-yard attempt wide right at 2:36. Two plays later, at 2:31, Nix threw short right to Jonah Coleman and Coleman ran 51 yards to the Kansas City 5, and Coleman scored from there at 1:56, 28-24. Mahomes drove back: 32 yards to Travis Kelce at 1:32 put the ball at the Denver 18, and the Chiefs reached the 1 before a false start at 0:04 pushed fourth-and-goal back to the 6, where Malcolm Roach sacked Mahomes to end it.
Mahomes was 30-of-41 for 321 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions; Johnson caught five for 128 and a score, Kelce five for 67 and Rice seven for 53 and a touchdown, and Kenneth Walker III ran 21 times for 69. Kansas City gained 399 yards and was flagged 11 times for 105. Nix was 20-of-32 for 222 and two touchdowns, Coleman had 41 rushing yards and the touchdown plus four catches for 63, Courtland Sutton caught four for 53, and Waddle three for 39 and a score. Denver was 2-of-11 on third down but 2-for-2 on fourth and 3-for-3 in the red zone, and Alex Singleton had 14 tackles and a sack. Denver is 6-2 and 4-0 at home; Kansas City is 5-2.
THE CARD, GRADED · KC @ DEN
Side DEN +1.5 (Lean) · preview number KC -1.5, closing number DEN -1.5 · Denver won by 4, 2.5 points past the closing number (5.5 past the preview number) · cleared
Total Under 40.5 (Lean) · preview number 40.5, closing number 41.5 · 52 points, 10.5 over the closing number · missed
The card was driven by the trend, Denver 5-2 against the number and 3-0 at home with Kansas City scoring three the week before, and the market agreed all the way through the number, moving from Kansas City by 1.5 to Denver by 1.5 at kickoff; the margin landed at 4, clear of both. The under was built on the lowest total of the afternoon and Denver's games running under, and Mahomes' 321 yards alone made that moot by the third quarter.
Philadelphia Scores 10 in the First Quarter and Nothing After It, and Washington's Defense Takes Over on Sunday Night
Philadelphia Eagles 10, Washington Commanders 27
The first quarter belonged to Philadelphia. Andrew Mukuba intercepted Jayden Daniels in the end zone at 12:25, a 40-yard drive produced Jake Elliott's 40-yarder at 6:10, and when Chig Okonkwo fumbled after an 11-yard catch at 5:34 and Zack Baun recovered at the Washington 26, Saquon Barkley scored from the 3 three plays later at 4:27 for 10-0. Drew Stevens' 56-yarder at 0:28 got Washington on the board, and the Commanders tied it with an 11-play, 89-yard drive, Daniels throwing 8 yards to Stefon Diggs at 4:56 of the second. Stevens' 39-yarder at 0:19 made it 13-10 at the half.
Philadelphia never scored again. Tanner McKee was sacked by Dorance Armstrong at 2:59 of the third and fumbled, Charles Omenihu recovered at the Washington 40, and on the next snap at 2:51 Daniels went deep right to Treylon Burks for 53 yards to the Philadelphia 7; the Eagles held, and Stevens' 25-yarder at 1:33 made it 16-10. Philadelphia's answer was a 15-play, 57-yard drive that took 7:35 and ended with Elliott's 36-yard field goal wiped out by an illegal formation and his 41-yard retry striking the left upright at 9:01 of the fourth. Daniels found Antonio Williams for 30 at 8:19, Stevens' 42-yarder at 3:43 made it 19-10, Rasul Douglas intercepted McKee on fourth-and-25 at 2:28 and returned it 22 yards to the Philadelphia 37, and Rachaad White ran 33 yards at 2:18 and scored from the 1 at 1:52, with Austin Ekeler adding the two-point run for 27-10.
Daniels was 16-of-29 for 217 yards and a touchdown with no interceptions and ran for 23; White had 55 yards and the score on 11 carries, Burks caught three for 81, Williams five for 54 and Diggs three for 38 and a touchdown. Stevens made four of five, and Washington ran for 135. McKee was 23-of-34 for 212 yards with no touchdowns, an interception and a lost fumble, and was sacked five times; Barkley ran 13 times for 30 yards and the touchdown, Makai Lemon caught six for 57 and Eli Stowers three for 53. Philadelphia converted 5 of 15 third downs. Washington is 2-4-1; Philadelphia is 2-6 with six straight losses.
THE CARD, GRADED · PHI @ WAS
Side PHI +6 (Toss-up) · preview number WAS -6, closing number WAS -5.5 · Philadelphia lost by 17, 11.5 points short of the closing number · missed
Total Over 40.5 (Lean) · closing number 40.5 · 37 points, 3.5 under the number · missed
The card leaned on the spot, a road underdog off Monday night against a home favorite off a bye, and the market moved half a point toward Philadelphia by kickoff; Washington scored 24 unanswered after the first quarter and the margin was never close to the number. The over was built on Washington's games running over against the lowest total on the board, and five sacks, two turnovers and four Stevens field goals where touchdowns might have been left it 3.5 short.
The Rest of the Slate
Pittsburgh 27, Cleveland 6: Deshaun Watson was sacked eight times. Patrick Queen and Cameron Heyward split the sack that forced his fumble at 10:41 of the first, Keeanu Benton recovered at the Cleveland 45, and Rico Dowdle scored from the 9 at 7:57. Jaylen Warren's 51-yard run at 4:17 set up Chris Boswell's 20-yarder at 14:05 of the second, Pat Freiermuth scored from the 1 at 0:01 for 20-6 at the half, and Aaron Rodgers' 58-yard throw to Darnell Washington at 10:23 of the third set up Warren's 1-yard touchdown at 9:39. Warren ran for 143, Pittsburgh for 200, and Harold Fannin Jr. caught 10 for 154 in the loss. Pittsburgh is 6-2; Cleveland is 5-3.
THE CARD, GRADED · CLE @ PIT
Side CLE +3.5 (Toss-up) · closing number PIT -3.5 · Cleveland lost by 21, 17.5 points short of the number · missed
Total Under 38.5 (Toss-up) · closing number 38.5 · 33 points, 5.5 under the number · cleared
Both teams came in 5-2 against the number and the card called the side close to even; eight sacks and two lost fumbles settled it by 21. The under was the lowest total on the board, and 200 Pittsburgh rushing yards kept the clock moving.
Cincinnati 43, Tennessee 36 (OT): Tennessee led 13-0 after one on Joey Slye's 46-yarder at 10:52, Tony Pollard's 40-yard run at 7:55 and Slye's 29-yarder at 2:14. Burrow threw 30 yards to Ja'Marr Chase at 13:20 of the second and 1 yard to Jack Endries at 0:20 for a 14-13 half, and the second half traded blows: Tee Higgins at 12:25 of the third, Pollard at 7:47, a Demetrius Knight Jr. safety at 0:46, Chimere Dike at 11:29 of the fourth, Mike Gesicki at 7:13, Wan'Dale Robinson at 3:46 for 36-29, and Higgins again at 1:17 to tie. Burrow's 9-yard run at 7:00 of overtime won it. Burrow was 38-of-48 for 462 yards and five touchdowns with three interceptions, all by Amani Hooker. Cincinnati is 5-2; Tennessee is 1-7.
THE CARD, GRADED · TEN @ CIN
Side CIN -12.5 (Toss-up) · preview number CIN -12.5, closing number CIN -13.5 · Cincinnati won by 7, 6.5 points short of the closing number · missed
Total Under 46.5 (Lean) · preview number 46.5, closing number 45.5 · 79 points, 33.5 over the closing number · missed
The card said double digits was a lot to lay and called the side a toss-up; the market added a point to it and Cincinnati needed overtime to win by 7. The under was built on Tennessee's games running under with its top back out, and Pollard ran for 117 in a 79-point game, the widest total miss of the slate.
Arizona 33, Dallas 30 (OT): Dallas led 24-10 after Dak Prescott's 5-yard run at 14:20 of the fourth, built on a goal-line fumble James Mitchell recovered in the end zone at 2:33 of the first and Prescott's 9-yard touchdown to Ryan Flournoy at 5:16 of the second. Tyler Allgeier's 63-yard run at 0:57 of the third started the comeback, Gardner Minshew II replaced Jacoby Brissett at 1:35 of the third, Allgeier caught a 5-yard touchdown at 10:47 of the fourth, Trey McBride scored from 14 at 2:11, and Minshew's 13-yard throw to Michael Wilson at 0:06 tied it at 30 after Brandon Aubrey's 41-yarder at 1:09. Chad Ryland's 42-yarder at 2:53 of overtime won it. Minshew threw three touchdowns, and Allgeier ran 11 times for 147. Arizona is 3-5; Dallas is 3-5.
THE CARD, GRADED · ARI @ DAL
Side DAL -7 (Toss-up) · closing number DAL -7 · Dallas lost by 3, 10 points short of the number · missed
Total Over 54.5 (Lean) · closing number 54.5 · 63 points, 8.5 over the number · cleared
The card called the side close to even with George Pickens and Kenny Clark questionable, and a 14-point Dallas lead at the start of the fourth became an overtime loss. The over was the highest total of the early window, built on both teams' games running over, and 43 fourth-quarter-and-overtime points carried it 8.5 past.
Tampa Bay 16, Atlanta 0: Baker Mayfield went 0-for-3, and Tampa Bay ran for 324 yards anyway. Alex Anzalone intercepted Michael Penix Jr. at 7:35 and 5:44 of the first quarter, the second setting up Chase McLaughlin's 34-yarder at 4:02 for 6-0, and Jacob Parrish intercepted Penix on fourth-and-6 at 12:39 of the second. McLaughlin's 42-yarder at 4:04 made it 9-0, Bucky Irving's 46-yard run at 6:31 of the third and Kenny Gainwell's 28-yarder at 4:59 set up Irving's 4-yard touchdown at 3:47, and Zyon McCollum's interception at 13:35 of the fourth was Penix's fourth. Irving ran 27 times for 170, Gainwell 25 for 140, and Atlanta went 0-for-12 on third down. Tampa Bay is 3-5; Atlanta is 3-5.
THE CARD, GRADED · ATL @ TB
Side TB -2.5 (Toss-up) · closing number TB -2.5 · Tampa Bay won by 16, 13.5 points past the number · cleared
Total Over 43.5 (Toss-up) · closing number 43.5 · 16 points, 27.5 under the number · missed
The card leaned on the matchup, Tampa Bay with Mayfield, Chris Godwin Jr., Irving and Antoine Winfield Jr. available against an Atlanta team with eight on the questionable list, and the side cleared by 13.5 with the Buccaneers' passing game contributing nothing. The over split two teams whose games had run over, and four interceptions and no completions left it 27.5 short.
Las Vegas 38, New York Jets 33: Geno Smith's touchdowns to Isaiah Williams at 10:56 and Adonai Mitchell at 6:18 of the second, around Dylan Laube's 95-yard kickoff return at 10:44, had the Jets up 23-14 at the half. Kirk Cousins threw 2 yards to Brock Bowers at 9:59 of the third, Braelon Allen's 21-yard run at 8:20 answered, Cousins snuck in at 4:14 for 28-30, and his 45-yard throw to Ashton Jeanty at 15:00 of the fourth set up a 2-yard touchdown to Jalen Nailor at 11:33, 35-30. Jason Sanders' fourth field goal at 4:31 cut it to 35-33, Matt Gay's 53-yarder at 0:27 made it 38-33, and Jeremy Chinn intercepted Smith at 0:14. Cousins was 19-of-26 for 247 and three touchdowns, and Allen ran for 147. Las Vegas is 4-4; New York is 2-6.
THE CARD, GRADED · LV @ NYJ
Side LV +1.5 (Lean) · closing number NYJ -1.5 · Las Vegas won by 5, 6.5 points past the number · cleared
Total Over 46.5 (Lean) · closing number 46.5 · 71 points, 24.5 over the number · cleared
The card was driven by the injury report, three Jets linemen out and an edge rusher doubtful against a healthy Bowers, and Las Vegas won outright. The over was the firmer of the two leans, built on Raiders games running over, and 71 points cleared it by 24.5.
Detroit 19, Minnesota 15: Jake Bates' 25-yarder at 2:18 of the first and Kyler Murray's 1-yard throw to Justin Jefferson at 14:25 of the second traded the lead, and D.J. Reed's 32-yard interception return at 1:51 set up Bates' 37-yarder at 0:02 for 7-6 Minnesota at the half. Jahmyr Gibbs ran 30 yards for a touchdown at 4:40 for 12-7, and Minnesota turned it over on downs at the Detroit 25 at 14:34 of the fourth. Murray's 51-yard throw to Jordan Addison at 10:16 set up T.J. Hockenson's 8-yard touchdown at 8:44 and Addison's two-point catch, 15-12, and Jared Goff answered with a 69-yard drive that Jameson Williams' 7-yard touchdown finished at 4:35. Gibbs ran 23 times for 153. Detroit is 5-2; Minnesota is 6-1.
THE CARD, GRADED · MIN @ DET
Side MIN +3 (Lean) · preview number DET -3, closing number DET -3.5 · Minnesota lost by 4, 0.5 short of the closing number (1 short of the preview number) · missed
Total Under 46.5 (Toss-up) · preview number 46.5, closing number 45.5 · 34 points, 11.5 under the closing number · cleared
The card leaned on Minnesota's road record against the number and the league's top defense, the market moved half a point to Detroit, and a 4-point margin missed the closing number by half a point, the closest miss of the day. The under split two teams going opposite directions on totals, and 34 points cleared it by 11.5.
Jacksonville 42, Indianapolis 7: Trevor Lawrence threw 12 yards to Brian Thomas Jr. at 5:30 of the first to finish a 98-yard drive, and the second quarter buried Indianapolis: Jonathan Taylor's fumble at 9:11 became Lawrence's 31-yard touchdown to Nate Boerkircher at 7:14, Bhayshul Tuten ran 39 yards for a score at 1:51, and Rayuan Lane III returned a Daniel Jones interception 92 yards at 0:10 for 28-0 at the half. Chris Rodriguez Jr. ran 28 yards for a touchdown at 9:08 of the third, Josh Downs' 6-yard catch at 3:59 was the Colts' only score, and Lawrence's 25-yard throw to Tuten at 0:00 of the third made it 42-7. Lawrence was 10-of-14 for 210 and three touchdowns, and Jones was 19-of-28 for 144 with two interceptions. Jacksonville is 5-2; Indianapolis is 2-6.
THE CARD, GRADED · IND @ JAX
Side JAX -10 (Toss-up) · preview number JAX -10, closing number JAX -10.5 · Jacksonville won by 35, 24.5 points past the closing number · cleared
Total Under 46.5 (Lean) · preview number 46.5, closing number 45.5 · 49 points, 3.5 over the closing number · missed
The card noted Jacksonville's home margins and called double digits a lot to lay against a 4-3 Colts team; the Jaguars led 28-0 at the half. The under was built on Jacksonville's scoring defense, and a 92-yard interception return counted toward the 49 that missed by 3.5.
Los Angeles Rams 24, Los Angeles Chargers 9: Three Cameron Dicker field goals, the last at 1:55 of the second, had the Chargers up 9-3, and Matthew Stafford's 40-yard throw to Tutu Atwell at 1:29 set up Kyren Williams' 1-yard touchdown at 0:19 for 10-9 at the half. Blake Corum ran 23 yards for a touchdown at 10:42 of the third, Trent McDuffie intercepted Justin Herbert at 4:37 and returned it 26 yards to the Chargers' 22, and Stafford threw 18 yards to Puka Nacua at 3:41 for 24-9. Herbert was 24-of-32 for 257 with no touchdowns and two interceptions, Nacua caught 11 for 80 and the score, and Corum ran 11 times for 73. The Rams are 4-4; the Chargers are 0-7.
THE CARD, GRADED · LAC @ LAR
Side LAR -6.5 (Lean) · closing number LAR -6.5 · the Rams won by 15, 8.5 points past the number · cleared
Total Under 45.5 (Lean) · closing number 45.5 · 33 points, 12.5 under the number · cleared
The card was driven by the trend, a winless Chargers team scoring about 15 a game, and the Rams pulled away with 14 third-quarter points. The under was built on the Chargers' games running under, and three Dicker field goals were all they managed.
New England 24, Miami 19: Miami led 13-3 at the half on Zane Gonzalez's 31-yarder at 3:39 of the first, his 52-yarder at 9:27 of the second and Malik Willis' 1-yard throw to Malik Washington at 0:08. Drake Maye's 43-yard touchdown to Kyle Williams at 9:23 of the third started the comeback, Maye scored from the 2 at 0:59 for 17-13, and Kevin Byard's interception at 13:41 of the fourth led to Maye's 48-yard touchdown to DeMario Douglas at 12:39. Gonzalez's 43-yard try went wide left at 6:45, and Willis' 35-yard touchdown to Kevin Coleman Jr. at 2:04 got Miami within 24-19 after the two-point pass failed. Maye was 16-of-20 for 199 and two touchdowns, and Willis was 21-of-32 for 211 behind five sacks. New England is 5-3; Miami is 1-6.
THE CARD, GRADED · NE @ MIA
Side MIA +7 (Lean) · closing number NE -7 · Miami lost by 5, 2 points inside the number · cleared
Total Under 43.5 (Toss-up) · preview number 43.5, closing number 41.5 · 43 points, 1.5 over the closing number (0.5 under the preview number) · missed
The card said a touchdown was a lot to lay with two New England starters questionable, and Miami stayed inside it by 2. The under was a toss-up on a total the market dropped two points by kickoff, and 43 points landed between the two numbers: under what we printed, over what closed, and graded against the close.
Buffalo and Denver Take Control of Their Divisions, Burrow Throws for 462, and the Early Window Goes to Overtime Twice
Buffalo is 6-1 and alone atop the AFC East, Denver is 6-2 and a half-game clear of Kansas City in the West, and Pittsburgh is 6-2 and 4-0 at home after holding Cleveland to six. Minnesota's first loss leaves it 6-1 with Detroit a game back at 5-2, Jacksonville and Cincinnati are both 5-2, New England is 5-3, the Chargers are 0-7, and Philadelphia's sixth straight loss drops it to 2-6. The pattern of the day was the second half: Buffalo, Washington, the Rams and New England all turned one-score halftime margins into comfortable wins, and the two games that went the other way, Arizona from 14 down and Tennessee from 13 up, went to overtime.
Star of the Night: Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals
38-of-48 | 462 YDS | 5 TD | 3 INT | 9-YD RUSHING TD IN OT
Patrick Mahomes' 321 yards and three touchdowns came in a loss, Josh Allen's 289 and three total scores came against Baltimore's backups, and Tyler Allgeier's 147 yards on 11 carries flipped a 14-point deficit in Dallas. Burrow threw three interceptions to the same safety, came back from 13-0 down, threw five touchdowns and ran for the sixth to win it in overtime.
Dud of the Night: Michael Penix Jr., QB, Atlanta Falcons
8-of-24 | 125 YDS | 0 TD | 4 INT | 12.0 RTG | 0-for-12 ON THIRD DOWN
Baltimore's Joe Fagnano and Tyler Huntley combined for 12 completions, an interception and two lost fumbles, and Daniel Jones threw a 92-yard pick-six for Jacksonville's fourth touchdown. Penix threw four interceptions, two to Alex Anzalone in the first quarter, against a Tampa Bay team that did not complete a pass, and Atlanta went scoreless.
THE RECORD · NFL REGULAR SEASON
Side 57-60-3 · 49% of 117 · Total 64-56-0 · 53% of 120 · through Week 8 (Sunday)
This slate: side 7-5, total 5-7 (24 leans).
Every card is graded against the closing number. The full ledger, by tier and by week, is on The Record.
What's next
Week 8 closes Monday night with the Bears at the Seahawks, 8:15 PM ET, and that card is free. The preview will be up before kickoff, and Week 9's slate follows Thursday.
Tome Collective is an informational publication. The Card and The Record describe how our number compared with the market; they are not advice.
