NFL Preview | November 15, 2026
Week 10's Sunday slate has 12 games, starting in Munich at 9:30 AM ET and ending with Steelers at Bengals on Sunday Night Football at 8:20 PM ET. Patriots and Lions play in Germany, the 49ers visit Dallas with the league's top-ranked offense by yards per play, and Pittsburgh and Cincinnati meet at 6-2 with first place in the AFC North on the line. Those three get the full write-up and a free card. The other nine games each get a card in Tome Intel. All times are Eastern.
Patriots and Lions Meet in Munich With Two Leaky Pass Defenses
New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions | 9:30 AM ET | FOX (Munich)
KEY STAT
260.9
Passing yards per game allowed by the Lions, the most in the NFL, while safety Kerby Joseph and cornerback DJ Reed are both out.
New England is 5-4 and coming off a 45-27 loss to Green Bay in which DeMario Douglas had 102 yards on five catches, the Patriots' first 100-yard receiving game of the season. Drake Maye has 18 touchdown passes and at least three total touchdowns in six straight games, and defensive tackle Christian Barmore has at least a half sack in four straight. The problem has been the ball: New England has 19 giveaways and a minus-11 turnover differential, tied for 31st. Running back TreVeyon Henderson, cornerback Carlton Davis III and lineman Ben Brown are out, while receiver A.J. Brown and running back Rhamondre Stevenson are questionable.
Detroit is 6-2 after a 19-9 win over Miami and averages 27.8 points per game, fifth in the league. The defense is the issue. The Lions allow 260.9 passing yards per game, last in the NFL, and Joseph, Reed and center Cade Mays are all out. Amon-Ra St. Brown (ribs) is questionable. Detroit is the designated home team at FC Bayern Munich Stadium, the third NFL game in the city. The Patriots lead the all-time series 8-5, and their last meeting was a 29-0 New England win in 2022.
New England wins if Maye keeps hitting explosive plays against a secondary missing two starters and the Patriots stop giving the ball away.
Detroit wins if it wins the turnover battle and the offense scores often enough that New England's weak pass defense never gets to matter.
Lean New England +3 (Toss-up), and lean the over 49.5 (Lean).
THE CARD · NE @ DET
The line DET -3 · NE +3 · total 49.5 · DraftKings
This season NE 4-4-1 ATS · DET 4-4 ATS
Rest & availability NE 7 days plus travel to Munich, Henderson, Davis III and Ben Brown out, A.J. Brown and Stevenson questionable · DET 7 days plus travel, Joseph, Reed and Mays out, St. Brown questionable
Lean NE +3 (Toss-up) · Over ↑ 49.5 (Lean)
Driven by the matchup. Detroit's pass defense ranks last in the league and is missing two starters in the secondary, which keeps New England's offense in play, but the Patriots' minus-11 turnover differential keeps the side close to even. Both pass defenses rank in the bottom eight, so the total leans toward points.
The 49ers' Top Offense Meets a Cowboys Defense Near the Bottom
San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys | 4:25 PM ET | FOX
KEY STAT
11
Runs of 20 or more yards allowed by Dallas, tied for the most in the NFL. San Francisco has not allowed one this season.
San Francisco is 7-1 after a 38-17 win over Las Vegas in which Brock Purdy went 17 of 25 for 232 yards and two touchdowns, with an interception, and added a rushing score. The 49ers lead the league in yards per play (6.3) and offensive EPA, average 29.4 points per game (third) and have turned 22 of 26 red-zone trips into touchdowns. Mike Evans is out with an Achilles injury, and Deebo Samuel is expected back. The defense is thinner this week, with cornerbacks Deommodore Lenoir, Renardo Green, Nate Hobbs and Upton Stout all questionable, along with tackle Trent Williams and linebacker Dre Greenlaw.
Dallas is 4-5 after a 27-23 win over Indianapolis in which Dak Prescott threw for a season-high 335 yards at 9.9 per attempt. The Cowboys score 27.3 per game (sixth) but allow 26.2 (25th), rank 31st in defensive EPA and have only 14 points off turnovers, 31st in the league. Tight end Jake Ferguson, running back Tyler Goodson, receiver Jonathan Mingo, linebacker Donovan Ezeiruaku and safety P.J. Locke are out. Cornerbacks Joey Porter Jr. and DaRon Bland are questionable.
San Francisco wins if its offense keeps controlling the yards per play and the Cowboys cannot stop explosive runs.
Dallas wins if Prescott repeats last week's efficiency against a San Francisco secondary that is dealing with injuries and the Cowboys create the takeaways they have lacked all season.
Lean San Francisco -3.5 (Lean), and lean the over 55.5 (Toss-up).
THE CARD · SF @ DAL
The line SF -3.5 · DAL +3.5 · total 55.5 · DraftKings
This season SF 5-3 ATS · DAL 4-5 ATS
Rest & availability SF 7 days, Evans out, Lenoir, Green, Hobbs, Stout, Greenlaw and T. Williams questionable · DAL 7 days, Ferguson, Goodson, Mingo, Ezeiruaku and Locke out, Porter Jr. and Bland questionable
Lean SF -3.5 (Lean) · Over ↑ 55.5 (Toss-up)
Driven by the matchup. San Francisco ranks first in yards per play against a Dallas defense that is 31st in defensive EPA and has allowed 11 runs of 20-plus yards, which supports the side even with several 49ers defensive backs questionable. Both offenses rank in the top six in scoring, but the total is the highest on the board, so the over stays close to even.
Steelers and Bengals Meet at 6-2 With the AFC North Lead on the Line
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals | 8:20 PM ET | NBC, Peacock
KEY STAT
298.3
Passing yards per game for Joe Burrow, the most in the NFL, along with a league-high 23 touchdown passes and a 74 percent completion rate.
Cincinnati is 6-2 after beating Atlanta 34-17 in Madrid, and the offense has led the NFL in EPA per play and success rate since Week 4. Joe Burrow threw three touchdown passes in that win. The offense will be short-handed on the edges, with receiver Andrei Iosivas and guard Brian Parker II doubtful. Safety Kyle Dugger is out, and cornerback Jalen Davis is doubtful. The Bengals are 4-3-1 against the spread this season.
Pittsburgh is also 6-2 and comes off its bye. The Steelers are 14th in net yards per play, sit in the bottom half of the league in EPA per play and success rate, and have played the fourth-easiest schedule through nine weeks. They are 6-2 against the spread this season and 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 meetings with Cincinnati. Defensive tackle Derrick Harmon is questionable. The winner takes sole possession of first place in the AFC North.
Cincinnati wins if Burrow and the offense keep their pace against a Steelers defense that has not faced many top offenses.
Pittsburgh wins if the extra rest helps it slow Burrow and the Steelers keep the game within a score late.
Lean Cincinnati -3.5 (Toss-up), and lean the over 49.5 (Toss-up).
THE CARD · PIT @ CIN
The line CIN -3.5 · PIT +3.5 · total 49.5 · DraftKings
This season PIT 6-2 ATS · CIN 4-3-1 ATS
Rest & availability PIT off the bye, Harmon questionable · CIN 7 days, Dugger out, Iosivas, Davis and Parker doubtful
Lean CIN -3.5 (Toss-up) · Over ↑ 49.5 (Toss-up)
Driven by the matchup. Cincinnati's offense has led the league in EPA per play since Week 4 and Pittsburgh has not played a defense or offense of that level, but the Steelers are 6-2 against the spread and rested, so the side stays close to even. The total sits just under 50 with the league's top passer on one side.
The Rest of the Slate
TOME INTEL · 9 more cards
Every other Sunday game gets a full card in Tome Intel: the line, the season trends, who is out, and our lean with its tier.
1:00 PM ET: Texans @ Browns · Chiefs @ Falcons · Panthers @ Saints · Vikings @ Packers · Bills @ Jets · Jaguars @ Titans · Dolphins @ Colts
4:05 PM ET: Rams @ Cardinals · Seahawks @ Raiders
What to Watch For Sunday.
Watch whether Detroit's thin secondary can hold up against Maye in Munich, whether Dallas can slow San Francisco's offense, and whether Pittsburgh can keep Burrow in check after a bye. We'll have the recap Monday with every card graded, free and Intel alike. Chargers at Ravens closes Week 10 on Monday night.
