NFL Preview | November 12, 2026
Week 10 opens with first place in the NFC East on the line and a rematch of a 27-27 tie. The Giants (5-2-1) lead the division behind J.J. McCarthy and a defense that just sacked the Eagles seven times, while the Commanders (2-5-1) need a win to stay in the race. Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on Prime Video from MetLife Stadium.
A Divisional Rematch With the Tiebreaker on the Line
Washington Commanders @ New York Giants | 8:15 PM ET | Prime Video
KEY STAT
103
Rushing yards for Jayden Daniels against the Giants in the Week 5 tie, on nine carries with two touchdowns. The Giants rank third in the NFL in success rate.
New York is 5-2-1 and comes in off a 19-11 win in Philadelphia, its first win there in 14 tries. J.J. McCarthy, acquired from Minnesota in late September after Jaxson Dart's season-ending knee injury, is 2-0 as a starter. He was 12-of-19 for 127 yards against the Eagles, took five sacks and played through a hip injury, and he practiced fully Wednesday. The defense recorded seven sacks, and with the offense not scoring much the Giants have leaned on it all year. Linebacker Malik Harrison (groin) is the only player listed as questionable, and running back Cam Skattebo (hamstring) and receiver Malik Nabers (knee) practiced fully.
Washington is 2-5-1 and fell 20-13 to the Rams last Sunday. Jayden Daniels is healthy, with his left elbow no longer limiting him in practice, but the supporting cast is thin: center Lucas Patrick (concussion) and tight end Colson Yankoff (knee) are out, and receiver Treylon Burks (foot) has not practiced. The Commanders rank in the bottom half of the league in EPA per play on both sides of the ball. Because the teams tied in Week 5, Thursday's winner takes the head-to-head tiebreaker.
The market has moved toward New York. The Giants opened -1.5 at DraftKings and are now -2.5, while the total has dropped from 43.5 to 40.5. Both teams are on a short week after playing Sunday.
Washington wins if Daniels keeps getting yards on the ground and the line holds up without its starting center.
New York wins if its pass rush keeps pressure on Daniels and McCarthy avoids the sacks that hurt the offense in Philadelphia.
Lean New York -2.5 (Lean), and lean the under 40.5 (Toss-up).
THE CARD · WAS @ NYG
The line NYG -2.5 · WAS +2.5 · total 40.5 · opened NYG -1.5 and 43.5 · DraftKings
This season WAS 4-4 ATS, 4-4 O/U · NYG 6-2 ATS, 5-3 O/U
Rest & availability WAS 4 days, Patrick and Yankoff out, Burks has not practiced, Daniels cleared · NYG 4 days, Harrison questionable, McCarthy, Skattebo and Nabers practiced fully
Lean NYG -2.5 (Lean) · Under ↓ 40.5 (Toss-up)
Driven by the matchup. New York has covered in six of eight games, has the home field and a defense that ranks third in success rate, while Washington is missing its starting center and ranks in the bottom half in EPA per play. Daniels' ability to run keeps the side close to even, and with the total down three points since the open, the under is a toss-up.
What to Watch For Thursday Night.
Watch how Washington's line handles New York's pass rush without Patrick, whether McCarthy's hip limits his mobility, and how many designed runs the Commanders call for Daniels. We'll have the recap Friday, with every card graded and the season record updated.
