Preview | May 13, 2026

Four games Wednesday night, headlined by the Las Vegas Aces visiting Mohegan Sun Arena in a matchup that has Connecticut's Sunset Season crowd ready for something meaningful. Caitlin Clark makes her first road start of the season in Los Angeles. The undefeated Golden State Valkyries host a Chicago Sky team that looked legitimately dangerous in their opening weekend. And the Seattle Storm head to Toronto for the Tempo's second home game, where the league's newest Canadian franchise is trying to figure out its offensive identity in real time. Here's what to watch.

Can Toronto Tempo Find an Offense?

Seattle Storm @ Toronto Tempo | 7:00pm ET | TSN, CTV

The Tempo's first home game wasn't what anyone in Toronto wanted. Marina Mabrey was exceptional — 27 points, all the shot creation this team needed — but she finished with just two assists as Toronto's offense failed to generate consistent looks once Washington locked in defensively. Brittney Sykes, expected to be the secondary scoring option, shot 4-for-18 from the floor and 0-for-5 from three. The team shot just 27% overall. It was the kind of shooting performance that exposes how thin Toronto's halfcourt infrastructure is when Mabrey isn't creating difficult shots for herself.

Seattle comes in at 1-1, having beaten the Connecticut Sun 89-82 on Sunday in a game where the Storm held the opposition to their defensive standard — opponents are shooting just 42% from two-point range against them, the best mark in the league through the first few days of the season. Dominique Malonga is generating real production already — the second-year forward has grabbed seven and eight rebounds in her first two outings and is physically imposing in ways that Toronto's frontcourt showed it couldn't match in the opener. Flau'jae Johnson gives Seattle another scoring option that didn't exist last year, and the Storm's defensive identity under head coach Sonia Raman appears to be intact even as the offensive roster was rebuilt around youth.

The Tempo have no confirmed injuries heading into Wednesday, but the structural issue is more significant than any absence — this team's offense currently runs through Mabrey, and if Seattle's defense can make the ball stick in her hands and limit her creation for teammates, Toronto could be in for another night of uncomfortable half-court basketball. Sandy Brondello is an elite coach who knows how to build offensive systems, but the pieces need time and repetition to function cohesively.

Toronto wins if Mabrey is as individually dominant as she was in their first game and finds ways to involve teammates more effectively, Sykes recovers from a brutal shooting night to contribute the perimeter volume her profile demands, and the home crowd gives the Tempo the kind of second-half energy that closed their opener against Washington.

Seattle wins if Malonga punishes Toronto's frontcourt for the third consecutive game, the Storm's defensive structure continues to limit opponent efficiency from inside the arc, and Johnson and Awa Fam provide enough secondary scoring to support the defensive foundation Raman is building.

Prediction: Seattle -1.5. Toronto shot 27% in its debut and remains offensively unresolved beyond Mabrey's individual creation. Computer models give Seattle a modest edge — roughly 58% win probability — driven by the Storm's defensive metrics and Toronto's exposed offensive limitations. Seattle wins and covers.

Aces Look to Make a Statement

Las Vegas Aces @ Connecticut Sun | 8:00pm ET | USA Network

Las Vegas needed Sunday's bounce-back performance, and they got it decisively — the Aces beat the Los Angeles Sparks 105-78 in a game that wasn't close after the first quarter. A'ja Wilson reasserted herself. Jackie Young was efficient. The Aces looked like exactly the team everyone expected them to be before Phoenix surprised them on Saturday, and the 105-78 final suggested this group used the loss as motivation rather than a setback.

Connecticut is 0-2 and sliding. The Sun lost to Seattle on Sunday 89-82 in a game they led before the Storm's defensive pressure wore them down in the second half. Brittney Griner made her debut and provided the interior presence Connecticut needs, but this is a team in a farewell season with a roster built around sentiment and veteran competitiveness rather than championship infrastructure. Hailey Van Lith is the most interesting developmental piece, and her growth as a facilitator will tell the story of this Sun season more than the wins and losses. Van Lith needs clean catch-and-shoot situations and isn't yet equipped to create advantages on her own against elite defensive pressure.

The Aces' defensive scheme is precisely the kind of operation that makes life difficult for Van Lith and Griner simultaneously — Las Vegas forces turnovers at a high rate, disrupts halfcourt sets before they develop, and has Wilson as the foundational piece who can alter shots and anchor rotations in ways that most teams cannot replicate. Connecticut's best path to competitiveness is keeping this game in the 70s and making Las Vegas work for every basket, which requires defensive execution the Sun haven't yet shown this season.

Connecticut wins if Griner is dominant inside and forces Las Vegas to devote enough defensive attention to her to open perimeter opportunities for Van Lith and the supporting cast, the Sun execute with the kind of defensive organization that slows the Aces' transition game, and Mohegan Sun Arena provides the kind of charged atmosphere that a Sunset Season home game is capable of generating.

Las Vegas wins if Wilson operates at the MVP level she showed against the Sparks and the Aces' depth — Chelsea Gray and Jackie Young as co-creators, a rotation deep enough to maintain pressure for 40 minutes — proves too much for a Connecticut team that is 0-2 and still searching for consistent offensive production.

Prediction: Las Vegas -13.5, O/U 171.5. The spread is large but defensible. Las Vegas is operating with real motivation after Saturday's stumble, the Aces just put up 105 against Los Angeles, and Connecticut has yet to show the offensive identity that would allow them to hang within two possessions for 40 minutes. Computer models project the Aces at approximately 89% win probability. Aces win, but the spread will be close.

Fever Head Out West

Indiana Fever @ Los Angeles Sparks | 10:30pm ET | USA Network

Caitlin Clark's return to the court opened with a 107-104 loss to Dallas — a game Indiana led for most of the night before Paige Bueckers and Arike Ogunbowale closed it out. Clark was engaged, made plays, and showed the facilitating instincts that made her an All-Star before the injury. But there is a difference between Game 1 at home, with the crowd and the adrenaline, and Game 2 on the road in Los Angeles, in a different time zone, 2,000 miles from Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Wednesday night is the first real test of Clark's conditioning and consistency on back-to-back road legs.

The Sparks are 0-1 after the 105-78 beating at the hands of Las Vegas on Sunday — a result that exposed Los Angeles's defensive limitations and confirmed that allowing 94.3 points per game last season was not an anomaly. Kelsey Plum had 27 points in the loss but the Sparks couldn't generate enough resistance defensively to give her scoring a chance to matter. Nneka Ogwumike, Dearica Hamby, and Ariel Atkins give Los Angeles a legitimate collection of veteran talent, and they'll be at home Wednesday with something to prove after a difficult opener. Plum, in particular, has a history of explosive performances that define this team's ceiling when she's playing with confidence.

Indiana's advantage is depth and structure. Kelsey Mitchell gives the Fever a secondary scorer who doesn't need Clark's creation to generate offense. Aliyah Boston provides the frontcourt presence that made Indiana competitive even during Clark's absence last season. If the Fever establish their defensive identity early and limit Plum's transition opportunities, this is a game Indiana should handle even with the travel disadvantage.

Los Angeles wins if Plum gets going from three in the first half and forces Indiana to defend her movement, Ogwumike controls the glass and gives the Sparks consistent second-chance opportunities, and the Crypto.com Arena crowd provides the home-game energy that a desperate 0-1 team needs to stay competitive for 40 minutes.

Indiana wins if Clark shows the road composure that separates elite players from good ones in their second game back from injury, Mitchell and Boston contribute enough alongside her to prevent Los Angeles from keying its entire defensive scheme on Clark, and Indiana's structure holds up against a Sparks offense that is capable of scoring but hasn't yet shown it can do so consistently.

Prediction: Indiana -2.5, O/U 184.5. The total is the highest on the Wednesday slate — both of these teams have defensive limitations and offensive firepower that push games above 170. Clark's road debut carries inherent uncertainty, but the computer models back Indiana at around 62% win probability and the Fever's depth gives them the edge even at reduced efficiency. Fever win and cover.

The Valkyries Keep Rolling

Chicago Sky @ Golden State Valkyries | 10:00pm ET | Local Broadcasters

Golden State is the story of the early season. The Valkyries are 2-0 — beating Seattle 91-80 on opening night and following that with a 95-79 win over a Phoenix Mercury team that had just upset the Las Vegas Aces the day before. This team is not playing like a franchise learning on the fly. Gabby Williams has been exactly what the defense needed, Tiffany Hayes and Veronica Burton are providing veteran scoring and creation, and Natalie Nakase's system is the kind of coherent, consistent operation that the early results suggest is genuinely difficult to play against.

Chicago is 1-1 after a convincing 98-83 win over Portland in the expansion Fire's home opener on Saturday, led by Kamilla Cardoso's 22 points and 14 rebounds — a performance that established Cardoso as Chicago's most reliable offensive and defensive anchor. Skylar Diggins-Smith brings the veteran floor leadership and shot creation that the Sky need to compete against elite defensive teams, and Rickea Jackson's shooting gives Chicago a legitimate scoring threat that defenses have to account for from the perimeter. The Sky are retooling rather than contending, but the Portland win showed they can execute at a high level when the talent differential is manageable.

The talent differential is not manageable on Wednesday. Golden State is the most complete team on the West Coast right now, and the Valkyries' defensive scheme specifically targets teams that rely on isolation scoring — which is Chicago's primary offensive mode without the ball movement that a more established system would generate. Williams has already demonstrated she makes the right read on almost every defensive possession, and that kind of defensive anchoring is precisely what limits the Diggins-Smith-led offenses that generate through individual creation.

Chicago wins if Diggins-Smith operates at an elite creation level and generates enough open threes for Jackson and the perimeter shooters to punish Golden State's rotations, Cardoso produces another interior performance that gives the Sky consistent scoring and rebounding from a position where the Valkyries have been vulnerable, and the defensive performances that carried Chicago's opener carry over into a more difficult road environment.

Golden State wins if Williams, Burton, and Hayes produce at their current level and the Valkyries' defensive execution continues to limit opponent shooting efficiency, the Chase Center crowd provides the kind of energy that made Golden State's inaugural season so difficult to play against at home, and Chicago's halfcourt offense struggles to generate clean looks against a Golden State team that has given up just 79 and 80 points in its two wins.

Prediction: Golden State -3.5, O/U 166.5. The Valkyries are 2-0 for a reason — this isn't noise, it's execution. Computer models back Golden State at approximately 64% win probability, consistent with the spread. Chicago is more dangerous than its record and roster suggest, but asking the Sky to win on the road against a 2-0 team playing at home with genuine defensive identity is too much to expect in Week 1. Valkyries win and cover.

What to Watch For Tonight.

The Aces-Sun game is the most lopsided on paper but carries the most emotional weight — Connecticut's Sunset Season crowd at Mohegan Sun Arena deserves a moment, and if the Sun give Las Vegas any early resistance, the arena will be the story. Fever-Sparks is the most unpredictable — two teams that can score at will but haven't yet shown the defensive discipline to dictate game flow — and Clark's first road start is the best individual storyline on the slate. Golden State is quickly becoming the league's most interesting early-season team, and how they handle a Chicago group with real professional scoring is the test that determines whether the Valkyries' 2-0 start is a preview or a mirage.

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