Playoff Preview | May 4, 2026

The second round begins today with two games that couldn't feel more different in tone. In New York, a Knicks team that was the only Eastern series that did not go a full seven games and they play host to a Sixers team that just completed one of the most remarkable first-round comebacks in recent postseason history. In San Antonio, a Spurs team that hasn't had a meaningful playoff test yet faces a Minnesota team that is the walking definition of a team running on fumes — short-handed, banged up, and somehow still standing.

The first round was the most dramatic opening act this postseason has produced in years. The second round starts tonight.

Road to the Ring.

NBA Top Shot's playoff prediction game is live — head to nbatopshot.com/playoffs to get in on the action.

Here's how it works: wager your spendable credits on playoff outcomes to earn more. Miss your prediction? No sweat — your credits come back to you. Hit? Stack 'em up and redeem for packs, Moments, or merch at nbatopshot.com/playoffs/store.

Review your outcomes, check your credits, and redeploy them the next day (max 1,000 per day). Whether you “load the boat” with your top convictions, or spread out your plays, the goal is to maximize your credits each day.

Consistency will be key in earning credits toward the various rewards. But there are also other opportunities to earn credits to capture the rewards in the store.

Fresh Legs Meet a Red-Hot Opponent

Philadelphia 76ers (7) at New York Knicks (3) | 8:00pm ET, NBC/Peacock

Game 1. Eastern Conference Semifinals.

The Knicks have had time to rest after eliminating Atlanta in six games. They've been watching three East series go to Game 7 while their locker room stayed comparatively fresh, their rotation stayed healthy, and their coaching staff had the luxury of full preparation time against a known opponent. New York dispatched Atlanta in Game 6 by 51 points — the largest halftime lead in playoff history — and walked away from the first round feeling like the East's most complete team. Brunson, Towns, and Anunoby are all healthy. The bench is rested. The home crowd at Madison Square Garden has been electric all postseason.

The Sixers are the opposite in almost every conceivable way. Philadelphia just finished seven games against Boston — including three elimination games in a row — with a franchise player returning from emergency abdominal surgery and a rookie who has been carrying historic production. Embiid played on his own timeline in the back half of that series, managing minutes and pushing through fatigue and a knee issue that was never fully resolved. Maxey has been the first round's most consistent individual performer, but he has also played 37 or more minutes in four of the last five games. Edgecombe, for all his brilliance, is still a 20-year-old in his first playoff run.

The matchup is one of the most storied in NBA history regardless of seeding — Sixers and Knicks have met 14 times in the playoffs, with the series history split nearly evenly. This version comes with a significant stylistic contrast. New York ranked 25th in pace this season; Philadelphia has been playing with a controlled aggression under Embiid that suits a halfcourt game. That pace battle will determine the early rhythm of the series. If Brunson and the Knicks can slow things down and make Embiid work in the post on both ends over long possessions, the fatigue factor compounds across a seven-game series. If Maxey pushes the pace and gets into transition before the Knicks' defense can set, the Sixers' athleticism gives them a competitive advantage they can't manufacture in half-court sets alone.

Towns is the matchup problem neither team has fully solved for themselves. He averaged 28.5 points against Atlanta in two regular-season meetings and was the decisive factor in four of New York's wins in the first round. The Sixers don't have an obvious answer for him at center — Embiid will draw away from the basket on offense, and whoever guards Towns in the post on the other end is going to have a rough night if Town's jump shot is falling. George, who has been steady but rarely defining in this postseason, needs a statement game at some point in this series. MSG in a second-round opener feels like the right moment.

Philadelphia wins if Embiid is assertive and healthy enough to control both ends, Maxey pushes pace to neutralize New York's halfcourt dominance, and the Sixers' collective energy — built off seven competitive games — carries into a building that has historically been difficult for road teams in big moments.

New York wins if Brunson and Towns dictate the pace and tempo from the opening possession, the Garden crowd re-establishes MSG as the most hostile playoff environment in the East, and the rest differential between a rested team and a depleted one shows up in the fourth quarter when it matters most.

Wembanyama vs. a Team Running on Heart

Minnesota Timberwolves (6) at San Antonio Spurs (2) | 9:30pm ET, Peacock/NBCSN

Game 1. Western Conference Semifinals.

The Spurs rolled through Portland in five games. Wembanyama returned from the concussion that cost him Game 3 and immediately put up 27 points, 11 rebounds, seven blocks, and four steals in a performance that ended the series' competitive window within a quarter. Castle, Fox, and Harper all played well. The Frost Bank Center has been one of the West's hardest road environments all postseason. San Antonio enters Monday rested, healthy, and deeply motivated — this is the furthest the Spurs have gone since 2017, and every game from here carries a franchise-defining weight.

Minnesota, by contrast, has been operating in crisis mode since Game 4 of the Denver series. Edwards is officially questionable for Game 1 after being cleared for on-court activities Sunday — a meaningful step forward from the bone bruise and hyperextension, but still well short of the clearance a team would want heading into a second-round series. DiVincenzo is done for the season. Dosunmu, who erupted for 43 points in Denver's Game 4, is day-to-day with a calf injury and participated only in light practice before the trip to San Antonio. The Wolves' primary offensive engine heading into Game 1 could be Gobert, Randle, McDaniels, and Naz Reid — a frontcourt-heavy group that is long, physical, and deeply motivated, but not the version of Minnesota this series was supposed to feature.

The Wolves beat Denver without their stars by leaning on Gobert's interior dominance and collective defensive effort that made Jokić's numbers feel almost irrelevant in crunch time. That blueprint — make the game physical, protect the paint, force perimeter shots — is harder to execute against Wembanyama than it was against Jokić. Gobert is the best rim protector in the world, but Wembanyama can score over him, passes out of double-teams with elite vision, and stretches the defense to the three-point line in ways Jokić doesn't. The Spurs have built their entire offensive identity around giving Wembanyama space to be impossible to guard. Minnesota has to find a way to make that feel less impossible than it looks on paper.

The one thread of optimism Minnesota can hold onto is the precedent they've already set. They've won with this group before — twice in Denver without Edwards and DiVincenzo — and McDaniels, Randle, and Reid have all shown the kind of playoff maturity that gives a depleted team a competitive floor. If Edwards does suit up, even at limited capacity, the entire series changes. His presence alone changes what San Antonio's defense has to account for, even if his explosiveness isn't fully there.

San Antonio wins if Wembanyama plays at the level he established in Game 4 against Portland and the Wolves' depleted roster can't generate the consistent scoring needed to keep pace over four quarters. The Spurs are deeper, healthier, and playing in their own building. The structural advantages are real.

Minnesota wins if Edwards is available and functional enough to change what the Spurs' defense has to prepare for, and the Wolves' collective defensive effort — the thing that carried them past Denver — slows down a Wembanyama-Fox combination that hasn't been seriously challenged in the postseason yet. It would require something extraordinary from a team that has already produced it once this month.

What to Watch For Tonight.

Two games, two very different versions of the same question: how much does rest and health matter at this stage of the postseason? The Knicks have both. The Sixers have neither. The Spurs have both. The Wolves have neither.

The second round rewards teams that are complete. Both Philadelphia and Minnesota have survived by being incomplete — by finding ways to win games without the players they were supposed to have, through collective effort and individual brilliance that emerged from unexpected places. The question tonight is whether that formula has another level, or whether the first round took everything it had to give.

The second round is here. The field is eight teams. By June, it'll be one. Tonight is where that narrowing begins.

Keep Reading