Playoff Preview | May 12, 2026
Tuesday has one game, but it won’t be the last.
Victor Wembanyama was ejected in the second quarter of Game 4 for throwing an elbow at Naz Reid. The Timberwolves took full advantage and won 114-109 without him on the floor. Anthony Edwards scored 36 points — his first fully healthy-looking performance of this series — and Minnesota evened the series at 2-2. The league reviewed the incident and confirmed Wembanyama will not be suspended for Game 5. Both teams are whole. San Antonio gets its home crowd. The series gets the matchup it deserves and the winner will have the momentum (and history) on their side.
Road to the Ring.
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An Elbow That Tied the Series
Minnesota Timberwolves (6) at San Antonio Spurs (2) | 8:00pm ET, NBC/Peacock
Game 5. Series tied 2-2.
This series has now produced everything a playoff series is supposed to produce. Minnesota stole Game 1 on a buzzer-miss. San Antonio blew out the Wolves by 38 in Game 2. Wembanyama had 39 points and matched Olajuwon, Shaq, and Kareem with a historic stat line in Game 3. Edwards came back healthy and answered with 36 in Game 4, and the ejection that cost San Antonio that game — and their series lead — is the kind of inflection point that tends to change the energy of a series even when the suspended player avoids punishment. Wembanyama plays tonight. But he does so knowing the Wolves have now seen the best version of themselves with Edwards fully activated.
The Gobert-Wembanyama matchup has been the series' most compelling subplot from the beginning. Two of the sport's most accomplished defensive bigs — one a four-time Defensive Player of the Year, the other a 22-year-old who has already changed how opponents think about attacking the paint — occupying the same floor and reshaping every offensive action around them. In Games 1 and 4, when Minnesota's wings and guards were active and aggressive, the interior battle tilted toward the Wolves. In Games 2 and 3, when San Antonio's perimeter — Fox, Castle, and Harper creating cleanly — took the defensive pressure off Wembanyama, the series looked like a mismatch. Both teams now know exactly what the other looks like at its ceiling.
Edwards being fully activated changes Minnesota's ceiling considerably. The version of him that showed up in Game 4 — attacking off the dribble, finishing through contact, demanding defensive attention that freed the floor for Gobert and the supporting cast — is the player San Antonio has had to prepare for all series without ever fully experiencing in a complete game. Fox and Castle have been San Antonio's most reliable contributors throughout and give the Spurs a guard duo capable of generating efficient offense regardless of what Minnesota's defense takes away. But the defensive burden of accounting for Edwards, Gobert, McDaniels, and Randle simultaneously is the hardest problem this Spurs team has faced in this postseason.
Frost Bank Center will be as loud as it's been all season. San Antonio will have the energy of the Spurs fanbase who have been one of the West's most intimidating playoff environments. The Spurs' young core, which has shown throughout this postseason that big moments bring out their best rather than their worst, should be fully energized by the stakes a Game 5 at home represents. Castle and Harper have both had breakout moments in this series. Tonight is the stage for another one.
Minnesota heads to San Antonio knowing it has already won there once and that the most important variable in its season — Edwards' health — has finally resolved itself in the Wolves' favor. The team that survived Denver without three key contributors, that stole Game 1 of this series on a missed buzzer-beater, and that won Game 4 without Wembanyama on the floor for the second half has been the most resilient group in this bracket. Tonight is the test of whether that resilience travels.
Minnesota wins if Edwards plays at or near his Game 4 level and the Wolves' defensive intensity — which held San Antonio to 109 points in a game where Wembanyama played limited minutes — translates to a full game against a healthy and motivated Spurs roster. A road win to go up 3-2 would put San Antonio in a genuinely difficult position with two of the final three games potentially in Minneapolis.
San Antonio wins if Wembanyama responds to the ejection with the kind of dominant, complete performance he showed in Game 3 — present on both ends, aggressive early, and in command of the interior in ways that force Minnesota's offense to work around him rather than through him. Frost Bank Center has not lost a playoff game this postseason. The Spurs need to keep it that way.
What to Watch For Tonight.
There is one game. The most compelling series of the second round has arrived at its pivot point — tied 2-2, both teams healthy, heading into a building where San Antonio has been dominant all postseason. Edwards is back. Wembanyama plays. The series gets what it was always supposed to be.
The winner of tonight's game controls the series. The loser faces an elimination threat that gets closer with every game that passes. Frost Bank Center at full volume, both stars available, nothing decided yet.
