Playoff Preview | May 10, 2026
Sunday's two games are both in buildings where the home team is fighting for its season in dramatically different ways. Philadelphia needs a win that has never been accomplished — no team in NBA history has come back from 0-3 — and needs it against a Knicks team that has won six straight playoff games. Minnesota needs to even a series that Wembanyama nearly took over singlehandedly in Game 3, and needs to do it while managing an Edwards minutes restriction that has hovered over every decision this coaching staff makes.
Two home teams. Two enormous stakes. Two likely divergent outcomes.
Road to the Ring.
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The Last Stand at Wells Fargo
New York Knicks (3) at Philadelphia 76ers (7) | 3:30pm ET, ABC
Game 4. New York leads series 3-0.
No team has ever come back from a 3-0 series deficit in NBA history. That fact sits above everything else about this game, and the Sixers know it. Philadelphia's path forward requires winning four straight games against the hottest team in the East bracket — a team that has won six consecutive playoff games, that answered every Sixers run in Game 3 without Anunoby in the lineup, and that has shown the ability to win ugly when it can't win pretty. The Knicks have been the most complete team in the second round regardless of who is on the floor for them.
Embiid returned in Game 3 and it wasn't enough. That's the hardest truth Philadelphia carries into Sunday. The player who saved this season twice against Boston — who delivered 33 points in a Game 5 comeback and willed his team to Game 7 at TD Garden — came back against the Knicks and the series result didn't change. The ankle, the hip, the appendectomy recovery, the accumulated minutes of a postseason that has asked everything of him: all of it is visible in how he moves, how quickly he gets to his spots, and how much the Knicks' defense has to adjust to account for him. When a healthy Embiid can't change a series, it says something about the gap between these two teams right now.
Anunoby's hamstring status is questionable heading into Game 4, which adds a layer of uncertainty to what is already New York's most straightforward path to the conference finals. Without him, the Knicks' defensive versatility shrinks — Anunoby has been their most important two-way piece all postseason — but Brunson, Towns, and Bridges have shown they can win without him. Maxey has to be better than he was in Game 3, where turnovers and inefficient shooting doomed a Sixers team that needed him to carry the night. George, who has had an up-and-down second round, needs the kind of sustained 40-minute performance that has been elusive all series. Wells Fargo Center will give them everything it has. The crowd knows what tonight means.
Philadelphia wins if Embiid is assertive and physical in ways that force the Knicks into genuine defensive adjustments, Maxey plays a clean, efficient game without the turnover issues that have plagued him against New York's pressure, and the crowd creates enough of an environment to make the Knicks feel the weight of what a 0-4 series loss would mean. Winning this game buys another. That's the only goal tonight.
New York wins if Brunson and Towns continue operating as the conference's most cohesive offensive tandem, the defense holds Embiid to the kind of limited efficiency he's shown through three games, and the Knicks close out a series that has never been genuinely competitive in a single game. Six straight wins. A sweep of the 7-seed who beat the 2-seed in seven games. That's what a conference finals berth looks like for New York.
Minnesota Look to Protect Home Court & Tie Series
San Antonio Spurs (2) at Minnesota Timberwolves (6) | 7:30pm ET, NBC/Peacock
Game 4. San Antonio leads series 2-1.
Wembanyama's 39-point, 15-rebound, five-block performance in Game 3 was the most dominant individual game the second round has produced. He did it on the road, in a building that was supposed to be Minnesota's most reliable advantage, against a Wolves team that had beaten the Spurs in San Antonio in Game 1. The message was unambiguous: when Wembanyama is playing at this level, this series is San Antonio's to lose.
Minnesota can't afford to let it feel that way tonight. The Wolves have hosted two home games in this series — they need to win at least one of them. Edwards' minutes restriction is the defining variable heading into Game 4, and the question of how many minutes he plays is more consequential than almost any other decision either coaching staff makes tonight. In Game 1, his 25 managed minutes and 18 points were enough to steal a road win when Champagnie's buzzer-beater missed. In Game 3, San Antonio made the environment irrelevant early and the series lead flipped. The Wolves need a version of tonight where Edwards plays into the fourth quarter and is the most threatening offensive presence on the floor — not a player being preserved for a series that might not reach Game 5 if they lose tonight.
Gobert has been the best counter-argument to the idea that this series is predetermined. He held his own against Wembanyama in Game 1 and has been the Wolves' most consistent anchor on both ends. But Game 3 revealed that when the Spurs' perimeter — Fox, Castle, Harper — is creating efficiently, Gobert's interior presence becomes less decisive. McDaniels has to be disruptive on both ends. Randle has to provide the secondary scoring that allows Minnesota's offense to function as more than one-dimensional. And the Target Center crowd, which has been one of the West's best playoff environments over the last two seasons, has to be the difference in moments where the talent gap closes to a single possession.
Minnesota wins if Edwards plays 35-plus minutes and is the most dangerous offensive player on the floor, the Wolves' collective defensive intensity matches the level they brought in Game 1, and Gobert neutralizes enough of Wembanyama's interior dominance to keep the Spurs' offense from building the kind of early lead that made Game 3 feel over by halftime.
San Antonio wins if Wembanyama plays anywhere near his Game 3 level and Fox and Castle continue operating as efficient secondary creators who take the pressure off having to go through Wemby every possession. Going up 3-1 on the road — in a building where Minnesota has historically been at its best — would be one of this series' most decisive moments and put the Wolves in a near-impossible position.
What to Watch For Tonight.
Two home teams, two different kinds of desperation. Philadelphia is chasing history in the most literal sense — no team has ever done what the Sixers need to do starting tonight. Minnesota is chasing something more achievable but no less urgent: a series split at home that keeps their postseason alive and forces the series back to San Antonio.
The second round has been defined by teams with incomplete rosters finding ways to compete and occasionally win. Philadelphia has Embiid but not a healthy one. Minnesota has Edwards but not a whole one. Both teams have been more resilient than their records this round suggest. Tonight, that resilience needs to produce something tangible.
The games tip off early afternoon and run through Sunday night. By the time it's over, at least one of these series will have a much clearer shape.
