Playoff Preview | April 23, 2026

Thursday's slate is all Amazon Prime and all three of these series have already delivered their share of chaos. One road team went into Madison Square Garden and silenced a raucous crowd as the Hawks stole a win from the jaws of defeat. One Western rivalry is already producing the kind of Q4 drama that makes two-week playoff series feel like they've been going on forever. And one Cavaliers team that hasn't lost a game yet heads to a building where Toronto desperately needs to prove this series isn't already over.

Road to the Ring.

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Consistency will be key in earning credits toward the various rewards. But there are also other opportunities to earn credits to capture the rewards in the store.

Knicks Head to Atlanta for Game 3

New York Knicks (3) at Atlanta Hawks (6) | 7:00pm ET, Amazon Prime

Game 3. Series tied 1-1.

CJ McCollum has now scored 26 and 32 in consecutive playoff games at Madison Square Garden, the second of which came while erasing a 12-point fourth-quarter deficit that should never have been erasable. The Hawks outscored the Knicks 28-15 in the final frame — in a building where New York entered having never blown a 12-point lead in the final period in franchise history. McCollum's go-ahead stepback jumper over OG Anunoby with 34 seconds left capped one of the more stunning MSG collapses in recent memory, and Atlanta heads home tied and with all the momentum.

The Knicks have to figure out two things quickly. First: what to do with the bench. McBride, Shamet, and Alvarado combined to shoot 0-for-7 in Game 2, and the Hawks were outscoring New York 23-16 when both Brunson and Towns were off the floor. That unit has been a strength all season — in Game 2 it was the difference between a comfortable win and a heartbreaking loss. Second: the Brunson shot selection problem. He scored 29 points in Game 2 but shot 10-for-26 — aggressive, yes, but not efficient enough in a one-possession game. Towns was scoreless in the fourth quarter, which is the kind of stat that demands a conversation about shot distribution in crunch time.

Atlanta gets to take all of that into their own building, where the crowd will be electric and the psychological edge has completely flipped. Jalen Johnson and the Hawks' young core have now proven they can compete in a hostile environment and win — going into State Farm Arena with a split feels entirely different from going into State Farm Arena down 0-2. Nickeil Alexander-Walker, who struggled for most of Game 2, had a massive defensive play late — and McCollum's breakout has given this series a villain-hero dynamic that Atlanta is more than happy to lean into.

New York wins if Brunson rediscovers his efficiency, Towns finishes plays he started in Game 2, and coach Mike Brown tightens his rotation to avoid the bench collapses that have now cost the Knicks in back-to-back games. The Knicks have won their last three road games against Atlanta during the regular season — they've done this before.

Atlanta wins if McCollum maintains his current level and the Hawks crowd turns State Farm Arena into the kind of environment that makes visiting teams feel genuinely uncomfortable. This is Atlanta's moment to take a genuine series lead, and they know it.

Toronto Needs Something, Anything

Cleveland Cavaliers (4) at Toronto Raptors (5) | 8:00pm ET, Amazon Prime

Game 3. Cleveland leads series 2-0.

Mitchell and Harden combined for 58 points in Game 2 and Cleveland was never in serious danger. The Cavaliers are the only team in the Eastern Conference that hasn't lost a playoff game yet, and the pattern of this series has been consistent: Mitchell leads, Harden facilitates, Mobley and the interior make life miserable for anyone trying to score in the paint, and Toronto keeps waiting for a version of Brandon Ingram that hasn't shown up.

Ingram's struggles are the central mystery of this series. He's had moments — a strong Game 2 first half before going quiet again — but the Cavs' length and scheme are clearly bothering him. Barnes has been genuinely good (26 points in Game 2), but the Raptors desperately need Barnes and Ingram producing in the same half, not trading off. Three other Toronto starters combined for 12 points in Game 2. That's not a matchup problem. That's a depth and execution problem on the road, and now this series moves home.

The good news for Toronto is that Scotiabank Arena is a different environment than Rocket Arena. Their crowd is engaged, their team is more comfortable, and the Raptors went 26-15 at home this season. The bad news is that historically, teams down 0-2 who lose Game 3 lose the series 98% of the time. This is the most important game of Toronto's season by a considerable margin. Without Quickley to run the offense, the ball-handling burden falls on Shead and the wings — and Cleveland has shown it can turn those situations into turnover fests.

Toronto wins if Ingram finally shows up for a full 48 minutes, Barnes continues his momentum, and the Raptors push the pace in a way they haven't been able to in Cleveland. Going down 0-3 would be a catastrophe. The Raptors need to play like they understand that.

Cleveland wins if Mitchell and Harden operate at any level approaching what they've shown in the first two games. The Cavaliers are playing with house money and their defense hasn't relented. There's no obvious reason to expect that to change in a building they've beaten before.

Wolves-Nuggets Is Officially a Series

Denver Nuggets (3) at Minnesota Timberwolves (6) | 9:30pm ET, Amazon Prime

Game 3. Series tied 1-1.

Game 2 was a masterpiece of resilience. Denver led by double figures and looked like they were about to go up 2-0. Then Edwards turned the switch — 20 of his eventual 30 points came in the first half, and the Wolves won the fourth quarter in a way that made Denver look like a completely different team from the one that dominated Game 1. Minnesota outrebounded Denver 16-9 in the final frame. The Jokić-Murray pick-and-roll duo went a combined 2-for-13 in the fourth quarter. Jokić had a layup swatted by Gobert on the final possessions. It was exactly the kind of clutch performance that reminded everyone why this rivalry has produced two of the best recent postseason series in NBA history.

The series trends are fascinating to read. Denver dominated Ball Arena in both games when it mattered early, then watched Minnesota swallow its leads as the game wore on. The Wolves have now established they can win in Denver — which they've done before, memorably — and the question now is what Denver does when it has to play in an environment that has historically chewed them up. The Timberwolves are 6-2 at Target Center in playoff games over the past two seasons. The crowd at Target Center is one of the loudest in the league. Edwards playing at full health changes the entire dynamic of what Minnesota can do.

Jamal Murray's logo three at the halftime buzzer in Game 2 was both one of the most ridiculous and least impactful shots of the series — it tied the game, Denver held a double-digit lead for stretches, and they still lost. That play captures everything about this matchup: brilliant star execution buried under the weight of what happens when the Wolves are fully activated. Jokić will still get his. The question is whether Murray finds his three-point shooting again, and whether Denver can stop the fourth-quarter bleed.

Denver wins if Jokić controls the game from start to finish rather than being brilliant in stretches while his supporting cast disappears. Murray needs to recapture his three-point stroke — he's 0-for-8 from deep over the last two games combined and the Wolves aren't scared to leave the arc open if he's cold.

Minnesota wins if Edwards continues to play like the best player in this series at full health and the Wolves replicate their fourth-quarter defensive intensity from Game 2. Target Center gave them everything they needed in their two conference finals runs — it should do the same tonight.

What to Watch For Tonight.

Three games, three very different stories. In Atlanta, the series that looked like a Knicks coronation is suddenly a genuine fight — and the Hawks have home court, momentum, and a new villain carrying them. In Toronto, the Raptors get their first home game of a series they're already on the brink of losing, with Ingram needing to be the player this team has needed him to be all postseason. And in Minneapolis, the first round's best series tips off its third act in a building that has consistently brought out the best in Anthony Edwards when it matters most.

The slate gets going at 7pm ET and doesn't wrap up until well past midnight. All three games have something real at stake. That's a good Thursday.

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