NBA Finals Preview | June 13, 2026

There is no precedent for what the Spurs did in Game 4, and there is no precedent for what the Knicks did to answer it. San Antonio scored 76 points in the first half on 59.6% shooting, set an NBA Finals record with 14 first-half three-pointers, and led by 29 points. Then they scored 30 points in the second half on 20.5% shooting. OG Anunoby finished with 33 points and, with 1.2 seconds left, tipped in Jalen Brunson's long three that had bounced off the front of the rim to give New York the most unlikely win in Finals history.

Mike Brown called it the most iconic shot in the history of New York basketball. Karl-Anthony Towns said it was the right hand from God. The Knicks lead the series 3-1 and are one win from ending 53 years of championship drought. They have done it in the most breathtaking way imaginable.

Now they go to San Antonio.

Road to the Ring.

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The Series

New York Knicks at San Antonio Spurs | 8:30pm ET, ABC

Game 5. New York leads series 3-1.

The second-half collapse in Game 4 requires understanding before it can be answered. San Antonio shot 59.6% in the first half and 20.5% in the second. That is not a coaching adjustment story, a scheme story, or a matchup story. It is a shooting variance story of historic proportions — 14 made threes in the first two quarters against two in the final two. The Spurs' offense did not become structurally worse at halftime. The shots stopped going in, and the psychological weight of watching a 29-point lead disappear in front of 20,000 people is a burden that no coaching staff can fully prepare a team to handle in real time.

The question for Frost Bank Center tonight is whether that psychological weight has been processed and discarded or whether it lingers. Wembanyama held a team meeting after Game 4, per multiple reports, in which he reportedly addressed the collapse directly and reminded his teammates what remains possible. He is 22 years old and he has never accepted a loss as a final answer in this postseason. The Spurs have not lost three consecutive games all season. They have beaten Oklahoma City in Oklahoma City in a Game 7. They have won at Madison Square Garden in the NBA Finals. They have every reason to believe tonight is recoverable.

Frost Bank Center is the environment that recovery demands. San Antonio went 6-1 at home in this postseason before losing Game 1 of the Finals in a game they led in the fourth quarter. Their home crowd has been the most sustained, loud, and effective playoff environment in the Western Conference for two consecutive seasons. What the Frost Bank Center crowd does for this team in the opening minutes of Game 5, particularly after the devastation of Wednesday's loss, will be one of the most important variables of the night.

Wembanyama has now averaged 29 points per game in this Finals with eight rebounds and five assists. He has had two extraordinary games and two inconsistent ones. The pattern has followed the Spurs' collective performance: when the team around him is executing and the ball is moving cleanly, he is the most dominant player on the floor. When the team goes cold and isolation basketball takes over, the possessions dry up and the margin shrinks. Tonight's game plan will almost certainly begin with getting him early touches in favorable positions before the Knicks' defense can establish the physical presence that has disrupted the Spurs' halfcourt execution in the second halves of multiple games.

For New York, the challenge of playing in a hostile road environment with a 3-1 lead is one this roster has never faced. The Knicks swept every first-round team, swept the Cavaliers, and have been either dominating or comeback-winning in every close game. They have not had to manage a closeout game in which the other team has everything to play for and the home building is working against them from the first possession. Thibodeau, who has been in pressure situations as both a player and a coach, will have this team prepared. Whether that preparation translates on the road in the loudest building this series will produce is the open question.

Brunson's dual injury situation has been managed throughout. He played through the knee and ankle in both New York games and produced at or above his series average. At full health, in the most important game of the Knicks' season, he needs to be himself from tip-off rather than starting tentatively and building into the game the way he has in recent outings.

Castle has hit consecutive clutch free throws to give the Spurs leads in the final 30 seconds of Games 3 and 4, and the team erased their deficit in both games. In Game 4, Castle's free throws to go up 106-105 with 30 seconds left appeared to seal a Spurs win before Anunoby's miracle. His composure under pressure has been the series' most quietly impressive individual quality. Fox's ankle continues to be monitored and managed. Harper's minutes have fluctuated with the adductor concern. Both are expected to play.

San Antonio wins if Wembanyama gets early favorable looks, the Spurs execute their halfcourt offense with the patience and ball movement that has been present in their two wins and absent in their two losses, and Frost Bank Center creates the kind of environment that has made San Antonio nearly unbeatable at home in this postseason. The Spurs need to hold serve here before this series can become a conversation.

New York wins if Brunson operates at his full capacity, Anunoby maintains the form he showed in Game 4 when he delivered 33 points and the two most important plays of the series, and the Knicks' collective composure holds in a hostile road environment that will be the loudest it has been since Game 7 against OKC. One more win ends 53 years of waiting.

The pick: San Antonio wins Game 5 and covers the 5.5. The Spurs are at home, they are desperate, they have Wembanyama with a chip…or should I say egg on his shoulder the size of a 29-point second-half collapse, and no team this postseason has been able to win two consecutive games in Frost Bank Center. The Knicks have never had to close out a series on the road, and the historical precedent for winning Game 5 on the road in a 3-1 series is limited against a team of San Antonio's quality in a building of this caliber. The 5.5 is generous but the Spurs cover it because the margin of this game, if San Antonio wins, will be driven by a crowd and players who have too much to prove for it to be close.

What to Watch For Tonight.

The Knicks are one win from 1973. San Antonio is three wins from the impossible. The series goes to Frost Bank Center tonight with the most lopsided series lead that still contains genuine uncertainty. The 2016 Cavaliers came back from 3-1. The Spurs will remind themselves of that every minute until tip-off.

Wembanyama held a team meeting. Brunson is managing his ankle. Frost Bank Center will be the loudest it has been all year. The NBA Finals continue Saturday night at 8:30pm on ABC.

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